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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

FC Rapid 1923 vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: O/U 1.5

Resolved Over. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Under 63%

Total Value

$335.33

Combined PnL

$-3.0K

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 14 top traders (57%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over6 traders
Total Value$335.33
Total Shares335
Combined PnL+$97.27
Under8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,984
Combined PnL$-3.1K
Over — 43%Under — 57%
TO
topdogbigboi
Over

Invested

$212.42

Value

$233.07

PnL

+$20.65

Record

38%

3268-5352 (8620)

poshposh<$100
Over

Invested

$20.13

Value

$77.26

PnL

+$57.13

Record

59%

10007-6969 (16976)

0X
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$59.62

Value

—

PnL

-$59.62

Record

47%

4534-5025 (9559)

HRTrading<$100
Over

Invested

$5.51

Value

$25

PnL

+$19.49

Record

52%

4099-3733 (7832)

DA
dashattackerCTR
Under

Invested

$3,260.99

Value

—

PnL

$-2.7K

Record

72%

2367-909 (3276)

XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$4.5

Value

—

PnL

-$4.5

Record

36%

15393-27456 (42849)

SM
SmallcoinsCTR
Under

Invested

$1,428.57

Value

—

PnL

-$300

Record

53%

1165-1028 (2193)

PA
pauleta23CTR
Under

Invested

$142.86

Value

—

PnL

-$30

Record

67%

23292-11694 (34986)

UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

45431-31798 (77229)

RN1CTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

56379-48535 (104914)

GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

24902-24623 (49525)

LU
LuckyLoo<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

12512-12895 (25407)

US
User7429<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

8250-6667 (14917)

SY
Syrrok<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

1803-1154 (2957)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x53786b49...a56b93
Slug
rou1-fcr-fcm-2026-10-30-total-1pt5

Traders in this Market

TO

topdogbigboi

Over — $233.07

+$20.65

poshposh

Over — $77.26

+$57.13
0X

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191

CTR

Under — $0

-$59.62

HRTrading

Over — $25

+$19.49
DA

dashattacker

CTR

Under — $0

$-2.7K
XT

xtxpleasecallme

CTR

Under — $0

-$4.5
SM

Smallcoins

CTR

Under — $0

-$300
PA

pauleta23

CTR

Under — $0

-$30
UP

UpTheBlues

CTR

Under — $0

+$0

RN1

CTR

Under — $0

+$0
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