Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
CD Tondela vs. SC Farense: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Under 50%
2 arb excluded
$7.7K
$1.1K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dashattacker | Underavg 81.3Β’ | $3.8K | $4.6K | +$861.05 | 65% 349-188 (537) |
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 65Β’ | $1.7K | $2.6K | +$883.45 | 49% 4635-4904 (9539) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 25.1Β’ | $812.8 | $421.24 | -$391.56 | 52% 2473-2263 (4736) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 66.2Β’ | $278.99 | $421.24 | +$142.25 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 25.1Β’ | $533.81 | β | -$533.81 | |
LI LimousinCTR | Overavg 18Β’ | $593.56 | β | -$593.56 | 38% 1318-2168 (3486) |
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Overavg 29.4Β’ | $126.58 | $40 | -$86.58 | 39% 1558-2440 (3998) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 29.4Β’ | $107.38 | β | -$107.38 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 48Β’ | $19.2 | $40 | +$20.8 | |
![]() poshposh<$100 | Underavg 47Β’ | $13.16 | $28.01 | +$14.85 | 49% 1311-1390 (2701) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 27.1Β’ | $34.74 | β | -$34.74 | 35% 628-1146 (1774) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 18Β’ | $8.1 | β | -$8.1 | 38% 1342-2205 (3547) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 55Β’ | $5.7 | $0.01 | -$0.1 | 53% 1889-1648 (3537) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Underavg 61Β’ | $7.82 | $0 | +$4.99 | 83% 962-202 (1164) |
Invested
$3,753.34
Value
$4.6K
PnL
+$861.05
Record
65%
349-188 (537)
Invested
$1,703.49
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$883.45
Record
49%
4635-4904 (9539)
Invested
$812.8
Value
$421.24
PnL
-$391.56
Record
52%
2473-2263 (4736)
Both legs:
Invested
$593.56
Value
β
PnL
-$593.56
Record
38%
1318-2168 (3486)
Invested
$126.58
Value
$40
PnL
-$86.58
Record
39%
1558-2440 (3998)
Both legs:
poshposh<$100Invested
$13.16
Value
$28.01
PnL
+$14.85
Record
49%
1311-1390 (2701)
Invested
$34.74
Value
β
PnL
-$34.74
Record
35%
628-1146 (1774)
Invested
$8.1
Value
β
PnL
-$8.1
Record
38%
1342-2205 (3547)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$0.1
Record
53%
1889-1648 (3537)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$7.82
Value
$0
PnL
+$4.99
Record
83%
962-202 (1164)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
dashattacker
Under β $4.6K
Flaznorp
Under β $2.6K
GoalLineGhost
ARBArbitrage β excluded
Limousin
CTROver β $0
topdogbigboi
ARBArbitrage β excluded

poshposh
Under β $28.01
LuckyLoo
CTROver β $0
Venusian
CTROver β $0

VeryLucky888
Under β $0.01

ARTEM-DZYUBA
Under β $0