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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 3.5

Resolved Under. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Under 21%

Total Value

$4.1K

Combined PnL

-$209.68

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 16 top traders (25%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under4 traders

Total Value$4.1K

Total Shares4,080

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Over12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,609

Combined PnL$-1.4K

Under — 25%Over — 75%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Underavg 66.5¢	$2.6K	$3.7K	+$1.1K	49% 4712-4983 (9695)
0X 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540	Underavg 93¢	$285.1	$291.43	+$21.71	81% 102-24 (126)
DA dashattacker	Underavg 92.9¢	$106.58	$114.71	+$8.13	65% 358-191 (549)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Overavg 33.5¢	$257.61	—	-$257.61	52% 2510-2301 (4811)
VE VenusianCTR	Overavg 17.2¢	$491.98	—	-$491.98	38% 1374-2228 (3602)
MA MadridTimeCTR	Overavg 32.6¢	$526.37	—	-$526.37	38% 1375-2208 (3583)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Overavg 19.4¢	$3.56	—	-$3.56	39% 1595-2514 (4109)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Overavg 28¢	$43.86	—	-$43.86	38% 1353-2203 (3556)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Overavg 23.3¢	$33.54	—	-$33.54	38% 1375-2257 (3632)
TH thatsabing0CTR<$100	Overavg 18¢	$8.1	—	-$8.1	63% 280-166 (446)
poshposhCTR<$100	Overavg 4¢	$1.79	—	-$1.79	49% 1349-1428 (2777)
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Overavg 7¢	$1.45	—	-$1.45	46% 888-1048 (1936)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	Overavg 32¢	$4.93	—	-$4.93	36% 649-1179 (1828)
dips.CTR<$100	Overavg 6.2¢	$1.05	—	-$0.73	48% 1314-1407 (2721)
SU suntori<$100	Underavg 62.7¢	$38.08	$0.01	+$22.56	46% 3336-3878 (7214)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Overavg 24¢	$3.12	—	+$0.31	53% 1923-1675 (3598)

Invested

$2,562.8

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

49%

4712-4983 (9695)

0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540

Invested

$285.1

Value

$291.43

PnL

+$21.71

Record

81%

102-24 (126)

Invested

$106.58

Value

$114.71

PnL

+$8.13

Record

65%

358-191 (549)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Invested

$257.61

Value

—

PnL

-$257.61

Record

52%

2510-2301 (4811)

Invested

$491.98

Value

—

PnL

-$491.98

Record

38%

1374-2228 (3602)

Invested

$526.37

Value

—

PnL

-$526.37

Record

38%

1375-2208 (3583)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$3.56

Value

—

PnL

-$3.56

Record

39%

1595-2514 (4109)

LimousinCTR<$100

Invested

$43.86

Value

—

PnL

-$43.86

Record

38%

1353-2203 (3556)

LightParadoxCTR<$100

Invested

$33.54

Value

—

PnL

-$33.54

Record

38%

1375-2257 (3632)

thatsabing0CTR<$100

Invested

$8.1

Value

—

PnL

-$8.1

Record

63%

280-166 (446)

poshposhCTR<$100

Invested

$1.79

Value

—

PnL

-$1.79

Record

49%

1349-1428 (2777)

smithagentCTR<$100

Invested

$1.45

Value

—

PnL

-$1.45

Record

46%

888-1048 (1936)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

Invested

$4.93

Value

—

PnL

-$4.93

Record

36%

649-1179 (1828)

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.73

Record

48%

1314-1407 (2721)

Invested

$38.08

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$22.56

Record

46%

3336-3878 (7214)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Invested

$3.12

Value

—

PnL

+$0.31

Record

53%

1923-1675 (3598)

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 16 top traders (25%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x37085e8e...195baa

Slug

pt2-pen-lfc-2026-11-15-total-3pt5

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

Under — $3.7K

0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540

Under — $291.43

dashattacker

Under — $114.71

GoalLineGhost

Over — $0

Venusian

Over — $0

MadridTime

Over — $0

topdogbigboi

Over — $0

Limousin

Over — $0

LightParadox

Over — $0

thatsabing0

Over — $0

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