Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Over 50%
1 arb excluded
$2.1K
-$139.26
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 72.8Β’ | $904.46 | $1.1K | +$187.25 | 49% 4712-4983 (9695) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 72.4Β’ | $715.02 | $797.16 | +$82.15 | 52% 2510-2301 (4811) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 72.4Β’ | $577.08 | $797.16 | +$220.09 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 25.8Β’ | $137.94 | β | -$137.94 | |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Underavg 31.8Β’ | $153.52 | β | -$153.52 | 38% 1375-2208 (3583) |
LI LimousinCTR | Underavg 28Β’ | $130.28 | β | -$130.28 | 38% 1353-2203 (3556) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 27.3Β’ | $96.5 | β | -$96.5 | 38% 1374-2228 (3602) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 63Β’ | $60.62 | $95.68 | +$35.06 | 39% 1595-2514 (4109) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Overavg 96Β’ | $68.52 | $71.38 | +$2.86 | 52% 249-233 (482) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 32Β’ | $6.4 | β | -$6.4 | 38% 1375-2257 (3632) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Overavg 72Β’ | $5.14 | $7.14 | +$2 | 53% 1923-1675 (3598) |
0X 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540CTR | Underavg 19Β’ | $164.8 | β | +$20.27 | 81% 102-24 (126) |
Invested
$904.46
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$187.25
Record
49%
4712-4983 (9695)
Invested
$715.02
Value
$797.16
PnL
+$82.15
Record
52%
2510-2301 (4811)
Both legs:
Invested
$153.52
Value
β
PnL
-$153.52
Record
38%
1375-2208 (3583)
Invested
$130.28
Value
β
PnL
-$130.28
Record
38%
1353-2203 (3556)
Invested
$96.5
Value
β
PnL
-$96.5
Record
38%
1374-2228 (3602)
Invested
$60.62
Value
$95.68
PnL
+$35.06
Record
39%
1595-2514 (4109)
Invested
$68.52
Value
$71.38
PnL
+$2.86
Record
52%
249-233 (482)
Invested
$6.4
Value
β
PnL
-$6.4
Record
38%
1375-2257 (3632)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$5.14
Value
$7.14
PnL
+$2
Record
53%
1923-1675 (3598)
Invested
$164.8
Value
β
PnL
+$20.27
Record
81%
102-24 (126)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Over β $1.1K
GoalLineGhost
ARBArbitrage β excluded
MadridTime
CTRUnder β $0
Limousin
CTRUnder β $0
Venusian
CTRUnder β $0
topdogbigboi
Over β $95.68
WagerWizard
Over β $71.38
LightParadox
CTRUnder β $0

VeryLucky888
Over β $7.14
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540
CTRUnder β $0