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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was GD Chaves β€” but Leixoes SC won instead.

Spread: Leixoes SC (-1.5)

Resolved Leixoes SC. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held GD Chaves. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

GD Chaves 50%

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

$-3.0K

Smart Money Signal

GD Chaves

3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Leixoes SC100%
GD Chaves0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

GD Chaves3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares6,083
Combined PnL$-3.0K
Leixoes SC4 traders
Total Value$1.6K
Total Shares1,561
Combined PnL+$6.23
GD Chaves β€” 43%Leixoes SC β€” 57%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x9a6eba92...836d8a
Slug
pt2-lei-cha-2026-11-15-spread-home-1pt5
Trade on Polymarket