Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was GD Chaves β but Leixoes SC won instead.
Spread: Leixoes SC (-1.5)
Resolved Leixoes SC. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held GD Chaves. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
GD Chaves 50%
$1.6K
$-3.0K
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | GD Chavesavg 72.7Β’ | $1.3K | β | $-1.3K | 48% 4837-5163 (10000) |
LO looppau | Leixoes SCavg 99.9Β’ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$1.5 | 99% 880-2 (882) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | GD Chavesavg 74.6Β’ | $1.7K | β | $-1.7K | 52% 2600-2380 (4980) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Leixoes SCavg 99.9Β’ | $54.6 | $54.65 | +$0.05 | 38% 3881-6344 (10225) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Leixoes SCavg 28Β’ | $1.82 | $6.5 | +$4.68 | 48% 2658-2887 (5545) |
E1 E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8CTR<$100 | GD Chavesavg 0.1Β’ | $3.05 | β | -$3.05 | 4% 2-47 (49) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Leixoes SCavg 50Β’ | $131 | β | +$0 | 64% 150-86 (236) |
Invested
$1,317.95
Value
β
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
48%
4837-5163 (10000)
Invested
$1,498.5
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.5
Record
99%
880-2 (882)
Invested
$1,703.18
Value
β
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
52%
2600-2380 (4980)
Invested
$54.6
Value
$54.65
PnL
+$0.05
Record
38%
3881-6344 (10225)
Invested
$1.82
Value
$6.5
PnL
+$4.68
Record
48%
2658-2887 (5545)
Invested
$3.05
Value
β
PnL
-$3.05
Record
4%
2-47 (49)
Invested
$131
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
150-86 (236)