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NoNoNoNoYes
VeryLucky888CTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will GD Chaves win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 67%
Total Value
$395.18
Combined PnL
$22.4
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$395.18
Total Shares395
Combined PnL+$27.41
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares238
Combined PnL-$5
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MadridTime | Noavg 96¢ | $192 | $200 | +$8 | 38% 1426-2282 (3708) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 96.1¢ | $96.07 | $92.94 | -$3.13 | 48% 4837-5163 (10000) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 76¢ | $70.11 | $92.25 | +$22.14 | 38% 1414-2288 (3702) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | $9.6 | $10 | +$0.4 | 52% 265-240 (505) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.7¢ | $3.95 | — | -$3.95 | 52% 2600-2380 (4980) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 54% 2011-1740 (3751) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $53 | — | +$0 | 64% 150-86 (236) |
MA
MadridTimeInvested
$192
Value
$200
PnL
+$8
Record
38%
1426-2282 (3708)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$96.07
Value
$92.94
PnL
-$3.13
Record
48%
4837-5163 (10000)
LI
Limousin<$100Invested
$70.11
Value
$92.25
PnL
+$22.14
Record
38%
1414-2288 (3702)
WA
WagerWizard<$100Invested
$9.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.4
Record
52%
265-240 (505)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$3.95
Value
—
PnL
-$3.95
Record
52%
2600-2380 (4980)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
54%
2011-1740 (3751)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100Invested
$53
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
150-86 (236)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6028f339...191af4
Slug
pt2-lei-cha-2026-11-15-cha