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OverOverOverUnderOverUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. Sport Boys Association: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 33%
Total Value
$477.09
Combined PnL
$99.47
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$477.09
Total Shares477
Combined PnL+$243.64
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares180
Combined PnL-$144.16
Over β 67%Under β 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 40.3Β’ | $141.24 | $350.18 | +$208.94 | 48% 4837-5163 (10000) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Overavg 61Β’ | $46.92 | $76.92 | +$30 | 30% 107-248 (355) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Overavg 96Β’ | $43.19 | $44.99 | +$1.8 | 98% 698-11 (709) |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 82Β’ | $143.71 | β | -$143.71 | 66% 373-195 (568) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Overavg 42Β’ | $2.1 | $5 | +$2.9 | 48% 2658-2887 (5545) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 9Β’ | $0.45 | β | -$0.45 | 39% 1675-2667 (4342) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$141.24
Value
$350.18
PnL
+$208.94
Record
48%
4837-5163 (10000)
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100Invested
$46.92
Value
$76.92
PnL
+$30
Record
30%
107-248 (355)
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100Invested
$43.19
Value
$44.99
PnL
+$1.8
Record
98%
698-11 (709)
DA
dashattackerCTRInvested
$143.71
Value
β
PnL
-$143.71
Record
66%
373-195 (568)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.9
Record
48%
2658-2887 (5545)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
β
PnL
-$0.45
Record
39%
1675-2667 (4342)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc1f202fd...515b01
Slug
per1-ccu-sba-2026-11-15-first-half-total-1pt5