Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-11-03?
Resolved No. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
No 64%
$4.5K
$69.26
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 87.8¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$30.38 | 51% 23562-22316 (45878) |
 VeryLucky888 | Noavg 89.5¢ | $1.4K | $1.6K | +$162.75 | 58% 44835-32630 (77465) |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 89.5¢ | $621.89 | $694.8 | +$72.91 | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
LI Limousin | Noavg 90.4¢ | $518.64 | $573.4 | +$54.76 | 54% 1108-926 (2034) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Yesavg 11.4¢ | $220.62 | — | -$220.62 | 50% 27470-27366 (54836) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 87¢ | $48.72 | $30 | -$18.72 | 50% 35795-35262 (71057) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Noavg 94.8¢ | $34.7 | $36.6 | +$1.9 | 84% 14484-2782 (17266) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.8¢ | $14.94 | — | -$14.94 | 47% 10754-12083 (22837) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 89.5¢ | $8.13 | $9.09 | +$0.96 | 51% 7440-7178 (14618) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.7¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 53% 59264-51568 (110832) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 51% 6251-6010 (12261) |
Invested
$1,578.46
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$30.38
Record
51%
23562-22316 (45878)
VeryLucky888Invested
$1,398.47
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$162.75
Record
58%
44835-32630 (77465)
Invested
$621.89
Value
$694.8
PnL
+$72.91
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
Invested
$518.64
Value
$573.4
PnL
+$54.76
Record
54%
1108-926 (2034)
Invested
$220.62
Value
—
PnL
-$220.62
Record
50%
27470-27366 (54836)
Invested
$48.72
Value
$30
PnL
-$18.72
Record
50%
35795-35262 (71057)
Invested
$34.7
Value
$36.6
PnL
+$1.9
Record
84%
14484-2782 (17266)
Invested
$14.94
Value
—
PnL
-$14.94
Record
47%
10754-12083 (22837)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$8.13
Value
$9.09
PnL
+$0.96
Record
51%
7440-7178 (14618)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
53%
59264-51568 (110832)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
51%
6251-6010 (12261)