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YesYesYes
VeryLucky888CTRNo
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100No
tradecraftCTR<$100NoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Sportivo Luqueno win on 2026-11-09?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 50%
Total Value
$5.2K
Combined PnL
-$293.37
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$5.2K
Total Shares5,160
Combined PnL-$155.22
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares227
Combined PnL-$138.15
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 75.2¢ | $3.5K | $3.7K | -$206.99 | 53% 330-294 (624) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 82.5¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$48.78 | 53% 94-83 (177) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Yesavg 94.1¢ | $50.8 | $50.8 | +$2.99 | 11% 15-116 (131) |
VeryLucky888CTR | Noavg 61¢ | $122 | — | -$122 | 52% 119-110 (229) |
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100 | Noavg 61¢ | $9.99 | — | -$9.99 | 5% 9-179 (188) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Noavg 61¢ | $6.03 | — | -$6.03 | 18% 63-288 (351) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Noavg 16¢ | $0.13 | — | -$0.13 | 20% 50-202 (252) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Yesavg 77¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 175-208 (383) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$3,504.36
Value
$3.7K
PnL
-$206.99
Record
53%
330-294 (624)
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$1,361.76
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$48.78
Record
53%
94-83 (177)
WA
WagerWizard<$100Invested
$50.8
Value
$50.8
PnL
+$2.99
Record
11%
15-116 (131)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$122
Value
—
PnL
-$122
Record
52%
119-110 (229)
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100Invested
$9.99
Value
—
PnL
-$9.99
Record
5%
9-179 (188)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$6.03
Value
—
PnL
-$6.03
Record
18%
63-288 (351)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$0.13
Value
—
PnL
-$0.13
Record
20%
50-202 (252)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
175-208 (383)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x559d018d...d4bd3d
Slug
par1-luq-may-2026-11-09-luq