Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Kraken β but Hurricanes won instead.

Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)
Resolved Hurricanes. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Kraken. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Kraken 40%
$132.44
-$78.24
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi | Hurricanesavg 66.6Β’ | $74.32 | $111.67 | +$37.35 | 37% 1116-1869 (2985) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Krakenavg 46.9Β’ | $135.91 | β | -$135.91 | 49% 4068-4262 (8330) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Hurricanesavg 74.8Β’ | $96.08 | $18 | -$5.23 | 58% 3639-2637 (6276) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Krakenavg 28.8Β’ | $8.07 | β | -$8.07 | 53% 1854-1648 (3502) |
![]() dips.<$100 | Hurricanesavg 82Β’ | $2.27 | $2.77 | +$0.5 | 47% 1014-1141 (2155) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Krakenavg 50Β’ | $600 | β | +$0 | 69% 134-60 (194) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Hurricanesavg 58.5Β’ | $46.8 | β | +$33.12 | 83% 784-160 (944) |
Invested
$74.32
Value
$111.67
PnL
+$37.35
Record
37%
1116-1869 (2985)
Invested
$135.91
Value
β
PnL
-$135.91
Record
49%
4068-4262 (8330)
Invested
$96.08
Value
$18
PnL
-$5.23
Record
58%
3639-2637 (6276)
Invested
$8.07
Value
β
PnL
-$8.07
Record
53%
1854-1648 (3502)
dips.<$100Invested
$2.27
Value
$2.77
PnL
+$0.5
Record
47%
1014-1141 (2155)
Invested
$600
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
134-60 (194)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$46.8
Value
β
PnL
+$33.12
Record
83%
784-160 (944)