Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5

Resolved Over. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Over 43%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$58.94

Over

3 of 8 top traders (38%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Over100%

Under0%

Over3 traders

Total Value$441.83

Total Shares442

Combined PnL+$92.64

Under5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares606

Combined PnL-$151.59

Over — 38%Under — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100	Underavg 55¢	$478.21	$301.86	-$176.34	46% 568-669 (1237)
└ Under leg	Underavg 55¢	$292.54	—	-$292.54
└ Over leg	Overavg 61.5¢	$185.67	$301.86	+$116.2
38 38791873984189	Overavg 79.9¢	$322.88	$404	+$81.12	47% 3580-3963 (7543)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR	Underavg 20¢	$103	—	-$103	40% 652-976 (1628)
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100	Overavg 79.5¢	$152.11	$144.74	-$7.37	38% 1351-2180 (3531)
└ Over leg	Overavg 79.5¢	$115.14	$144.74	+$29.6
└ Under leg	Underavg 39.2¢	$36.97	—	-$36.97
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eARB<$100	Overavg 47.2¢	$97.81	$146.76	+$48.95	58% 3775-2737 (6512)
└ Over leg	Overavg 47.2¢	$69.34	$146.76	+$77.42
└ Under leg	Underavg 39¢	$28.47	—	-$28.47
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Overavg 80¢	$98.39	$72	-$26.39	49% 4352-4620 (8972)
└ Under leg	Underavg 33.6¢	$40.79	—	-$40.79
└ Over leg	Overavg 80¢	$57.6	$72	+$14.4
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Underavg 40.2¢	$59.85	—	-$34.8	50% 1850-1880 (3730)
BO BoomLaLa<$100	Overavg 77¢	$19.25	$25	+$5.75	34% 174-332 (506)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Underavg 40.5¢	$10.63	—	-$10.63	46% 884-1056 (1940)
US User7429<$100	Overavg 55¢	$7.06	$12.83	+$5.77	42% 384-536 (920)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Underavg 27.5¢	$2.9	—	-$2.9	53% 2078-1852 (3930)
dips.CTR<$100	Underavg 39¢	$0.25	—	-$0.25	48% 1156-1264 (2420)