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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Browns vs. Saints: O/U 28.5

Resolved Over. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Under 58%

Total Value

$6.7K

Combined PnL

$-3.7K

Smart Money Signal

Under

7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares13,071

Combined PnL$-7.3K

Over5 traders

Total Value$6.7K

Total Shares6,708

Combined PnL+$3.6K

Under — 58%Over — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR	Underavg 55.3¢	$3.1K	—	$-3.1K	50% 5215-5114 (10329)
AN Anon455CTR	Underavg 48.6¢	$2.4K	—	$-2.4K	54% 3943-3319 (7262)
CM cm2897	Overavg 44.7¢	$1.9K	$4.1K	+$2.2K	50% 2575-2627 (5202)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Underavg 51.7¢	$2.9K	—	-$858.74	46% 33409-38908 (72317)
JU justaluckydude	Overavg 46¢	$2.1K	$2.1K	+$1.1K	53% 13686-12062 (25748)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR	Underavg 47.2¢	$1.1K	—	-$497.75	57% 17059-13037 (30096)
38 38791873984189CTR	Underavg 47¢	$600	—	-$274.95	48% 70290-75979 (146269)
PW PwaddlerCTR<$100	Underavg 53¢	$89.8	—	-$89.8	49% 493-510 (1003)
CI cigarettes	Overavg 52¢	$244.69	$244.69	+$117.45	50% 65490-65806 (131296)
BI biying88888	Overavg 44¢	$106.04	$241	+$134.96	47% 242-268 (510)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Underavg 53¢	$55	—	-$29.15	49% 8559-8732 (17291)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Overavg 47¢	$30	$30	+$15.9	53% 3775-3371 (7146)

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR

Invested

$3,148.87

Value

—

PnL

$-3.1K

Record

50%

5215-5114 (10329)

Invested

$2,443.08

Value

—

PnL

$-2.4K

Record

54%

3943-3319 (7262)

Invested

$1,899.12

Value

$4.1K

PnL

+$2.2K

Record

50%

2575-2627 (5202)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Invested

$2,919.25

Value

—

PnL

-$858.74

Record

46%

33409-38908 (72317)

Invested

$2,103.54

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

53%

13686-12062 (25748)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR

Invested

$1,054.58

Value

—

PnL

-$497.75

Record

57%

17059-13037 (30096)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$600

Value

—

PnL

-$274.95

Record

48%

70290-75979 (146269)

PwaddlerCTR<$100

Invested

$89.8

Value

—

PnL

-$89.8

Record

49%

493-510 (1003)

Invested

$244.69

Value

$244.69

PnL

+$117.45

Record

50%

65490-65806 (131296)

Invested

$106.04

Value

$241

PnL

+$134.96

Record

47%

242-268 (510)

Invested

$55

Value

—

PnL

-$29.15

Record

49%

8559-8732 (17291)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$30

Value

$30

PnL

+$15.9

Record

53%

3775-3371 (7146)

Smart Money Signal

Under

7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x278d525c...13654e

Slug

nfl-cle-no-2026-11-08-total-28pt5

Traders in this Market

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Under — $0

Anon455

Under — $0

cm2897

Over — $4.1K

ferrariChampions2026

Under — $0

justaluckydude

Over — $2.1K

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Under — $0

38791873984189

Under — $0

Pwaddler

Under — $0

cigarettes

Over — $244.69

biying88888

Over — $241

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