Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
MVV Maastricht vs. Vitesse Arnhem: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Under 44%
1 arb excluded
$344.6
-$124.14
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dashattacker | Underavg 86.5¢ | $193.5 | $223.73 | +$30.23 | 65% 353-190 (543) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 36¢ | $160.49 | $44.4 | -$116.09 | 49% 4676-4943 (9619) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 80.4¢ | $35.7 | $44.4 | +$8.7 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 36¢ | $124.79 | — | -$124.79 | |
 poshposh<$100 | Underavg 87¢ | $45.01 | $51.14 | +$6.13 | 49% 1336-1411 (2747) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 13.6¢ | $38.8 | — | -$38.8 | 39% 1579-2471 (4050) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 86¢ | $17.06 | $19.84 | +$2.78 | 45% 984-1181 (2165) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 34¢ | $34 | — | -$34 | 38% 1332-2185 (3517) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Overavg 36¢ | $29.14 | — | -$29.14 | 41% 1189-1686 (2875) |
SU suntoriCTR | Overavg 35.4¢ | $101.03 | — | -$55.16 | 46% 3282-3819 (7101) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Underavg 99¢ | $5.44 | $5.49 | +$0.05 | 99% 664-9 (673) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 14¢ | $6.22 | — | -$6.22 | 53% 7499-6626 (14125) |
Invested
$193.5
Value
$223.73
PnL
+$30.23
Record
65%
353-190 (543)
Invested
$160.49
Value
$44.4
PnL
-$116.09
Record
49%
4676-4943 (9619)
Both legs:
poshposh<$100Invested
$45.01
Value
$51.14
PnL
+$6.13
Record
49%
1336-1411 (2747)
Invested
$38.8
Value
—
PnL
-$38.8
Record
39%
1579-2471 (4050)
Invested
$17.06
Value
$19.84
PnL
+$2.78
Record
45%
984-1181 (2165)
Invested
$34
Value
—
PnL
-$34
Record
38%
1332-2185 (3517)
Invested
$29.14
Value
—
PnL
-$29.14
Record
41%
1189-1686 (2875)
Invested
$101.03
Value
—
PnL
-$55.16
Record
46%
3282-3819 (7101)
Invested
$5.44
Value
$5.49
PnL
+$0.05
Record
99%
664-9 (673)
Invested
$6.22
Value
—
PnL
-$6.22
Record
53%
7499-6626 (14125)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
dashattacker
Under — $223.73
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
poshposh
Under — $51.14
topdogbigboi
CTROver — $0
lryyy
Under — $19.84
Limousin
CTROver — $0
sentrio
CTROver — $0
suntori
CTROver — $0
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Under — $5.49
cigarettes
CTROver — $0