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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

NAC Breda vs. FC Emmen: O/U 5.5

Resolved Over. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Under 64%

Total Value

$3.6K

Combined PnL

$-3.2K

Smart Money Signal

Under

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over4 traders

Total Value$3.6K

Total Shares3,631

Combined PnL+$1.6K

Under7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares9,854

Combined PnL$-4.8K

Over — 36%Under — 64%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CI cigarettes	Overavg 55.6¢	$1.8K	$3.3K	+$1.5K	53% 7137-6246 (13383)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Underavg 80.7¢	$212.85	—	-$212.85	53% 2162-1905 (4067)
MA MadridTimeCTR	Underavg 40¢	$1.8K	—	$-1.8K	38% 1014-1686 (2700)
TO topdogbigboi	Overavg 56¢	$164.04	$200	+$35.96	37% 1063-1796 (2859)
LI LightParadoxCTR	Underavg 44.4¢	$1.6K	—	$-1.6K	37% 1002-1720 (2722)
FL Flaznorp<$100	Overavg 11¢	$8.85	$80.48	+$71.63	49% 3959-4107 (8066)
SU suntoriCTR	Underavg 90.5¢	$952.36	—	-$952.36	46% 2743-3256 (5999)
WA WagerWizard<$100	Overavg 92.2¢	$47.04	$51	+$3.96	41% 147-210 (357)
VE VenusianCTR	Underavg 35.5¢	$149.95	—	-$149.95	37% 991-1715 (2706)
RN1CTR<$100	Underavg 60.4¢	$81.39	—	-$81.39	55% 5402-4371 (9773)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Underavg 5¢	$1.1	—	-$1.1	45% 836-1013 (1849)

Invested

$1,834.8

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$1.5K

Record

53%

7137-6246 (13383)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Invested

$212.85

Value

—

PnL

-$212.85

Record

53%

2162-1905 (4067)

Invested

$1,821.09

Value

—

PnL

$-1.8K

Record

38%

1014-1686 (2700)

Invested

$164.04

Value

$200

PnL

+$35.96

Record

37%

1063-1796 (2859)

LightParadoxCTR

Invested

$1,562

Value

—

PnL

$-1.6K

Record

37%

1002-1720 (2722)

Invested

$8.85

Value

$80.48

PnL

+$71.63

Record

49%

3959-4107 (8066)

Invested

$952.36

Value

—

PnL

-$952.36

Record

46%

2743-3256 (5999)

WagerWizard<$100

Invested

$47.04

Value

$51

PnL

+$3.96

Record

41%

147-210 (357)

Invested

$149.95

Value

—

PnL

-$149.95

Record

37%

991-1715 (2706)

Invested

$81.39

Value

—

PnL

-$81.39

Record

55%

5402-4371 (9773)

Invested

$1.1

Value

—

PnL

-$1.1

Record

45%

836-1013 (1849)

Smart Money Signal

Under

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa0d269bf...1ae4c8

Slug

ned2-bre-emm-2026-11-14-total-5pt5

Traders in this Market

cigarettes

Over — $3.3K

GoalLineGhost

Under — $0

MadridTime

Under — $0

topdogbigboi

Over — $200

LightParadox

Under — $0

Flaznorp

Over — $80.48

suntori

Under — $0

WagerWizard

Over — $51

Venusian

Under — $0

RN1

Under — $0

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