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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Almere City FC vs. Helmond Sport: O/U 5.5

Resolved Over. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Under 30%

Total Value

$1.7K

Combined PnL

$223.82

Smart Money Signal

Under

3 of 10 top traders (30%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over7 traders

Total Value$1.7K

Total Shares1,657

Combined PnL+$1.3K

Under3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,329

Combined PnL$-1.1K

Over — 70%Under — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	Overavg 18¢	$160.39	$605.56	+$445.17	53% 2249-2030 (4279)
FL Flaznorp	Overavg 16¢	$83.68	$441.73	+$358.05	49% 4123-4317 (8440)
TO topdogbigboi	Overavg 21.3¢	$45.37	$213.12	+$167.75	38% 1175-1954 (3129)
dips.	Overavg 17¢	$45.51	$178	+$146.84	47% 1041-1174 (2215)
SM smithagent<$100	Overavg 22¢	$18.04	$82	+$63.96	45% 717-880 (1597)
poshposh<$100	Overavg 15¢	$11.74	$78.28	+$66.54	49% 1233-1293 (2526)
SE sentrio<$100	Overavg 16¢	$9.32	$58.27	+$48.95	42% 1060-1490 (2550)
RN1CTR<$100	Underavg 76¢	$31.67	—	-$31.67	55% 5525-4565 (10090)
DA dashattackerCTR	Underavg 77.4¢	$197.91	—	-$197.91	65% 329-177 (506)
UE uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9CTR	Underavg 81.8¢	$843.86	—	-$843.86	61% 54-35 (89)

Invested

$160.39

Value

$605.56

PnL

+$445.17

Record

53%

2249-2030 (4279)

Invested

$83.68

Value

$441.73

PnL

+$358.05

Record

49%

4123-4317 (8440)

Invested

$45.37

Value

$213.12

PnL

+$167.75

Record

38%

1175-1954 (3129)

Invested

$45.51

Value

$178

PnL

+$146.84

Record

47%

1041-1174 (2215)

smithagent<$100

Invested

$18.04

Value

$82

PnL

+$63.96

Record

45%

717-880 (1597)

Invested

$11.74

Value

$78.28

PnL

+$66.54

Record

49%

1233-1293 (2526)

Invested

$9.32

Value

$58.27

PnL

+$48.95

Record

42%

1060-1490 (2550)

Invested

$31.67

Value

—

PnL

-$31.67

Record

55%

5525-4565 (10090)

dashattackerCTR

Invested

$197.91

Value

—

PnL

-$197.91

Record

65%

329-177 (506)

uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9CTR

Invested

$843.86

Value

—

PnL

-$843.86

Record

61%

54-35 (89)

Smart Money Signal

Under

3 of 10 top traders (30%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x346a927d...54869a

Slug

ned2-alm-hel-2026-11-14-total-5pt5

Traders in this Market

GoalLineGhost

Over — $605.56

Flaznorp

Over — $441.73

topdogbigboi

Over — $213.12

dips.

Over — $178

smithagent

Over — $82

poshposh

Over — $78.28

sentrio

Over — $58.27

RN1

Under — $0

dashattacker

Under — $0

uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9

Under — $0

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