Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5
Resolved Over. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Over 38%
3 arb excluded
$24.2K
$4.3K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 13 top traders (38%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA marvelousmarvin | Overavg 52¢ | $10.4K | $20.0K | +$9.6K | — 6-11 (17) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Underavg 48¢ | $3.2K | — | $-3.2K | 28% 121-308 (429) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 54.8¢ | $4.7K | $2.4K | +$487.7 | 53% 330-294 (624) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 54.8¢ | $1.3K | $2.4K | +$1.1K | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 24.8¢ | $582.57 | — | -$582.72 | |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR | Underavg 48¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.8K | 57% 104-80 (184) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Overavg 86.1¢ | $5.7K | $1.1K | +$158.89 | 53% 214-189 (403) |
 RN1ARB<$100 | Underavg 62.4¢ | $1.7K | $375 | -$530.51 | 52% 287-270 (557) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 28.6¢ | $107.33 | $375 | +$267.65 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 62.4¢ | $798.15 | — | -$798.16 | |
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100 | Underavg 52.1¢ | $541.97 | $210.43 | -$62.3 | 43% 131-176 (307) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 47.4¢ | $99.83 | $210.43 | +$110.59 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 52.1¢ | $172.86 | — | -$172.89 | |
AN Anon455CTR | Underavg 43¢ | $535.18 | — | -$230.13 | 48% 86-95 (181) |
VE Venusian | Overavg 23¢ | $66.3 | $130 | +$63.7 | 27% 128-350 (478) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 41¢ | $160.34 | — | -$65.74 | 28% 130-331 (461) |
BI biying88888CTR | Underavg 53¢ | $106 | — | -$106 | 19% 30-131 (161) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Underavg 48.3¢ | $113.98 | — | -$55.11 | 49% 427-449 (876) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Underavg 46.4¢ | $102.47 | — | -$47.57 | 49% 193-198 (391) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Overavg 22¢ | $5.35 | $10 | +$4.65 | 26% 127-363 (490) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Overavg 53¢ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 57% 139-106 (245) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Underavg 22¢ | $8.5 | — | -$8.5 | 55% 77-63 (140) |
Invested
$10,398.89
Value
$20.0K
PnL
+$9.6K
Record
—
6-11 (17)
Invested
$3,208.15
Value
—
PnL
$-3.2K
Record
28%
121-308 (429)
Invested
$4,713.71
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$487.7
Record
53%
330-294 (624)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,823.52
Value
—
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
57%
104-80 (184)
Invested
$5,690.65
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$158.89
Record
53%
214-189 (403)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$1,654.5
Value
$375
PnL
-$530.51
Record
52%
287-270 (557)
Both legs:
Invested
$541.97
Value
$210.43
PnL
-$62.3
Record
43%
131-176 (307)
Both legs:
Invested
$535.18
Value
—
PnL
-$230.13
Record
48%
86-95 (181)
Invested
$66.3
Value
$130
PnL
+$63.7
Record
27%
128-350 (478)
Invested
$160.34
Value
—
PnL
-$65.74
Record
28%
130-331 (461)
Invested
$106
Value
—
PnL
-$106
Record
19%
30-131 (161)
Invested
$113.98
Value
—
PnL
-$55.11
Record
49%
427-449 (876)
Invested
$102.47
Value
—
PnL
-$47.57
Record
49%
193-198 (391)
Invested
$5.35
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.65
Record
26%
127-363 (490)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
57%
139-106 (245)
Invested
$8.5
Value
—
PnL
-$8.5
Record
55%
77-63 (140)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
marvelousmarvin
Over — $20.0K
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRUnder — $0
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
CTRUnder — $0
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Over — $1.1K
RN1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
6512395314597884
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Anon455
CTRUnder — $0
Venusian
Over — $130
LightParadox
CTRUnder — $0