Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5
Resolved Under. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Under 63%
1 arb excluded
$829.28
$96.66
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Underavg 77¢ | $385.54 | $500.7 | +$115.16 | 51% 493-465 (958) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 22.9¢ | $280.47 | $98.18 | -$182.28 | 49% 3640-3753 (7393) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 22.9¢ | $198.98 | — | -$198.98 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 83¢ | $81.49 | $98.18 | +$16.69 | |
 RN1 | Underavg 55¢ | $74.64 | $135.72 | +$61.07 | 56% 5169-4141 (9310) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Overavg 24.7¢ | $79.19 | — | -$79.19 | 55% 1469-1221 (2690) |
SU suntori<$100 | Underavg 70.9¢ | $47.61 | $67.13 | +$19.52 | 45% 2420-2899 (5319) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 13.3¢ | $25.5 | — | -$25.5 | 37% 909-1532 (2441) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100 | Underavg 55¢ | $12.13 | $22.06 | +$9.93 | 51% 2426-2359 (4785) |
NE Next-Licensing<$100 | Underavg 99¢ | $5.45 | $5.5 | +$0.05 | 97% 147-4 (151) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 23¢ | $9.44 | — | -$4.38 | 48% 1953-2074 (4027) |
Invested
$385.54
Value
$500.7
PnL
+$115.16
Record
51%
493-465 (958)
Invested
$280.47
Value
$98.18
PnL
-$182.28
Record
49%
3640-3753 (7393)
Both legs:
RN1Invested
$74.64
Value
$135.72
PnL
+$61.07
Record
56%
5169-4141 (9310)
Invested
$79.19
Value
—
PnL
-$79.19
Record
55%
1469-1221 (2690)
Invested
$47.61
Value
$67.13
PnL
+$19.52
Record
45%
2420-2899 (5319)
Invested
$25.5
Value
—
PnL
-$25.5
Record
37%
909-1532 (2441)
Invested
$12.13
Value
$22.06
PnL
+$9.93
Record
51%
2426-2359 (4785)
Invested
$5.45
Value
$5.5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
97%
147-4 (151)
Invested
$9.44
Value
—
PnL
-$4.38
Record
48%
1953-2074 (4027)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
Under — $500.7
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
RN1
Under — $135.72
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTROver — $0
suntori
Under — $67.13
topdogbigboi
CTROver — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Under — $22.06
Next-Licensing
Under — $5.5
ferdinand2
CTROver — $0