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Over
dips.CTR<$100OverUnderOverUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 2Q O/U 58.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 60%
Total Value
$113.05
Combined PnL
-$142.37
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares358
Combined PnL-$155.25
Under3 traders
Total Value$113.05
Total Shares113
Combined PnL+$12.88
Over — 50%Under — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MI micky456CTR | Overavg 43.2¢ | $101.91 | — | -$101.91 | 48% 550-607 (1157) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Overavg 43.2¢ | $50.96 | — | -$50.96 | 47% 914-1028 (1942) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Underavg 56.6¢ | $363.47 | $108.72 | +$10.5 | 55% 1469-1221 (2690) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 55¢ | $2.38 | — | -$2.38 | 45% 2420-2899 (5319) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 45¢ | $1.94 | $4.32 | +$2.38 | 37% 909-1532 (2441) |
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3<$100 | Underavg 45¢ | $1.95 | $0.01 | +$0 | 59% 497-340 (837) |
MI
micky456CTRInvested
$101.91
Value
—
PnL
-$101.91
Record
48%
550-607 (1157)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$50.96
Value
—
PnL
-$50.96
Record
47%
914-1028 (1942)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Invested
$363.47
Value
$108.72
PnL
+$10.5
Record
55%
1469-1221 (2690)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$2.38
Value
—
PnL
-$2.38
Record
45%
2420-2899 (5319)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$1.94
Value
$4.32
PnL
+$2.38
Record
37%
909-1532 (2441)
0X
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
497-340 (837)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5c5601c2...3a5d35
Slug
nba-por-sac-2026-11-13-2q-total-58pt5