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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5

Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Over 40%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$109.3K

Combined PnL

$40.8K

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 10 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over4 traders

Total Value$98.3K

Total Shares98,293

Combined PnL+$46.2K

Under6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares11,282

Combined PnL$-5.4K

Over — 40%Under — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186	Overavg 53¢	$98.0K	$98.0K	+$46.1K	47% 482-554 (1036)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100	Underavg 47¢	$109.2K	$11.0K	$-40.9K	47% 1235-1391 (2626)
└ Under leg	Underavg 47¢	$46.1K	—	$-46.2K
└ Over leg	Overavg 52¢	$5.7K	$11.0K	+$5.3K
TI timezonewarriorCTR	Underavg 48¢	$5.3K	—	$-5.3K	45% 111-136 (247)
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375	Overavg 56.9¢	$159.04	$159.04	+$68.55	50% 4150-4104 (8254)
TA takeormake	Overavg 63.6¢	$108.06	$108.06	+$39.31	53% 4558-4042 (8600)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Underavg 43¢	$66.65	—	-$66.65	53% 748-666 (1414)
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Underavg 36¢	$41.71	—	-$41.71	51% 23065-21883 (44948)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100	Overavg 45¢	$2.11	$3.45	+$1.35	52% 3903-3554 (7457)
0X 0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187CTR<$100	Underavg 5¢	$0.52	—	-$0.52	15% 1107-6290 (7397)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Underavg 44¢	$2.23	—	-$2.23	57% 17750-13286 (31036)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Underavg 50.7¢	$3.8	—	-$3.25	45% 13352-16261 (29613)

0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186

Invested

$98,022.04

Value

$98.0K

PnL

+$46.1K

Record

47%

482-554 (1036)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100

Invested

$109,212.4

Value

$11.0K

PnL

$-40.9K

Record

47%

1235-1391 (2626)

Both legs:

Under$46,147.6647¢$-46.2K

Over$5,722.652¢+$5.3K

timezonewarriorCTR

Invested

$5,282.4

Value

—

PnL

$-5.3K

Record

45%

111-136 (247)

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Invested

$159.04

Value

$159.04

PnL

+$68.55

Record

50%

4150-4104 (8254)

Invested

$108.06

Value

$108.06

PnL

+$39.31

Record

53%

4558-4042 (8600)

VenusianCTR<$100

Invested

$66.65

Value

—

PnL

-$66.65

Record

53%

748-666 (1414)

FlaznorpCTR<$100

Invested

$41.71

Value

—

PnL

-$41.71

Record

51%

23065-21883 (44948)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100

Invested

$2.11

Value

$3.45

PnL

+$1.35

Record

52%

3903-3554 (7457)

0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187CTR<$100

Invested

$0.52

Value

—

PnL

-$0.52

Record

15%

1107-6290 (7397)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

$2.23

Value

—

PnL

-$2.23

Record

57%

17750-13286 (31036)

suntoriCTR<$100

Invested

$3.8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.25

Record

45%

13352-16261 (29613)

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 10 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x962126fb...ee5ce6

Slug

nba-phx-gsw-2026-11-02-total-216pt5

Traders in this Market

0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186

Over — $98.0K

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Arbitrage — excluded

timezonewarrior

Under — $0

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Over — $159.04

takeormake

Over — $108.06

Venusian

Under — $0

Flaznorp

Under — $0

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $3.45

0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187

Under — $0

ghorrock

Under — $0

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