Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Warriors — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Warriors
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
Resolved Warriors. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Warriors. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Warriors 59%
2 arb excluded
$22.1K
$7.1K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 28 top traders (61%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Warriorsavg 50.9¢ | $7.2K | $7.1K | +$3.4K | 51% 23065-21883 (44948) |
BI biying99999 | Warriorsavg 52¢ | $3.9K | $7.5K | +$3.6K | 11% 9-76 (85) |
65 6512395314597884 | Warriorsavg 68.3¢ | $1.3K | $1.9K | +$596.15 | 51% 4404-4284 (8688) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Warriorsavg 40¢ | $1.8K | $1.3K | +$522.1 | 50% 4150-4104 (8254) |
UP UpTheBlues | Warriorsavg 58¢ | $1.0K | $1.3K | +$242.3 | 58% 49272-35398 (84670) |
 nigiri99 | Warriorsavg 53¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$549.43 | 46% 8167-9513 (17680) |
SU SunlineTickerCTR | Sunsavg 42.8¢ | $621.11 | — | -$621.11 | 60% 4340-2850 (7190) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR | Sunsavg 60.5¢ | $864.32 | — | -$864.32 | 53% 11467-10034 (21501) |
TA takeormakeCTR | Sunsavg 18.2¢ | $232.48 | — | -$200.71 | 53% 4558-4042 (8600) |
 VeryLucky888 | Warriorsavg 56¢ | $280 | $500 | +$182.5 | 58% 44275-32205 (76480) |
 HRTrading | Warriorsavg 51¢ | $241.79 | $461.85 | +$220.06 | 51% 7139-6898 (14037) |
 RN1ARB<$100 | Warriorsavg 55¢ | $252.5 | $250 | -$2.5 | 54% 58718-51015 (109733) |
| └ Warriors leg | Warriorsavg 55¢ | $137.5 | $250 | +$56.25 | |
| └ Suns leg | Sunsavg 46¢ | $115 | — | -$58.75 | |
VE VenusianCTR | Sunsavg 44.9¢ | $703 | — | -$315.47 | 53% 748-666 (1414) |
LI Limousin | Warriorsavg 56¢ | $152.6 | $272.5 | +$119.9 | 55% 764-622 (1386) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Sunsavg 71.6¢ | $303.81 | — | -$303.81 | 52% 3903-3554 (7457) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Sunsavg 47.8¢ | $124.69 | $75.98 | -$48.71 | 47% 14094-15610 (29704) |
| └ Suns leg | Sunsavg 47.8¢ | $88.22 | — | -$88.22 | |
| └ Warriors leg | Warriorsavg 48¢ | $36.47 | $75.98 | +$39.51 | |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Sunsavg 43¢ | $62.1 | — | -$62.1 | 54% 17676-14856 (32532) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Sunsavg 18¢ | $25.6 | — | -$25.6 | 56% 8622-6907 (15529) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Warriorsavg 55¢ | $75.24 | $75.24 | +$33.86 | 50% 25159-24872 (50031) |
GA Gaditima<$100 | Warriorsavg 37¢ | $60.54 | $60.54 | +$38.14 | 48% 6843-7476 (14319) |
SU suntori<$100 | Warriorsavg 48¢ | $55.54 | $55.54 | +$28.88 | 45% 13352-16261 (29613) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Warriorsavg 38.2¢ | $49 | $49 | +$30.28 | 47% 8994-10093 (19087) |
PP ppku6298CTR<$100 | Sunsavg 45¢ | $33.86 | — | -$33.86 | 45% 107-129 (236) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Sunsavg 44¢ | $11.93 | — | -$11.93 | 50% 35350-34790 (70140) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Warriorsavg 52¢ | $25 | $20 | +$7 | 48% 5999-6422 (12421) |
Invested
$7,238.27
Value
$7.1K
PnL
+$3.4K
Record
51%
23065-21883 (44948)
Invested
$3,935.6
Value
$7.5K
PnL
+$3.6K
Record
11%
9-76 (85)
Invested
$1,285.48
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$596.15
Record
51%
4404-4284 (8688)
Invested
$1,818.96
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$522.1
Record
50%
4150-4104 (8254)
Invested
$1,007.7
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$242.3
Record
58%
49272-35398 (84670)
nigiri99Invested
$1,169
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$549.43
Record
46%
8167-9513 (17680)
Invested
$621.11
Value
—
PnL
-$621.11
Record
60%
4340-2850 (7190)
Invested
$864.32
Value
—
PnL
-$864.32
Record
53%
11467-10034 (21501)
Invested
$232.48
Value
—
PnL
-$200.71
Record
53%
4558-4042 (8600)
VeryLucky888Invested
$280
Value
$500
PnL
+$182.5
Record
58%
44275-32205 (76480)
HRTradingInvested
$241.79
Value
$461.85
PnL
+$220.06
Record
51%
7139-6898 (14037)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$252.5
Value
$250
PnL
-$2.5
Record
54%
58718-51015 (109733)
Both legs:
Invested
$703
Value
—
PnL
-$315.47
Record
53%
748-666 (1414)
Invested
$152.6
Value
$272.5
PnL
+$119.9
Record
55%
764-622 (1386)
Invested
$303.81
Value
—
PnL
-$303.81
Record
52%
3903-3554 (7457)
Invested
$124.69
Value
$75.98
PnL
-$48.71
Record
47%
14094-15610 (29704)
Both legs:
Invested
$62.1
Value
—
PnL
-$62.1
Record
54%
17676-14856 (32532)
Invested
$25.6
Value
—
PnL
-$25.6
Record
56%
8622-6907 (15529)
Invested
$75.24
Value
$75.24
PnL
+$33.86
Record
50%
25159-24872 (50031)
Invested
$60.54
Value
$60.54
PnL
+$38.14
Record
48%
6843-7476 (14319)
Invested
$55.54
Value
$55.54
PnL
+$28.88
Record
45%
13352-16261 (29613)
Invested
$49
Value
$49
PnL
+$30.28
Record
47%
8994-10093 (19087)
Invested
$33.86
Value
—
PnL
-$33.86
Record
45%
107-129 (236)
Invested
$11.93
Value
—
PnL
-$11.93
Record
50%
35350-34790 (70140)
Invested
$25
Value
$20
PnL
+$7
Record
48%
5999-6422 (12421)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Warriors — $7.1K
biying99999
Warriors — $7.5K
6512395314597884
Warriors — $1.9K
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
Warriors — $1.3K
UpTheBlues
Warriors — $1.3K
nigiri99
Warriors — $1.2K
SunlineTicker
CTRSuns — $0
justaluckydude
CTRSuns — $0
takeormake
CTRSuns — $0
VeryLucky888
Warriors — $500