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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5

Resolved Over. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Under 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.2K

Combined PnL

-$501.6

Smart Money Signal

Under

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over3 traders

Total Value$3.0K

Total Shares3,026

Combined PnL+$1.7K

Under5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,777

Combined PnL$-2.2K

Over — 38%Under — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AN Anon455ARB<$100	Underavg 58.2¢	$1.9K	$1.1K	-$751.6	54% 4009-3371 (7380)
└ Under leg	Underavg 58.2¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.5K
└ Over leg	Overavg 37.8¢	$429.46	$1.1K	+$707.83
JU justaluckydude	Overavg 44.1¢	$2.5K	$2.5K	+$1.4K	53% 13686-12064 (25750)
MA marvelousmarvinCTR	Underavg 53.2¢	$1.1K	—	$-1.1K	62% 55-34 (89)
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR	Underavg 67¢	$900.79	—	-$900.79	50% 5216-5115 (10331)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Overavg 46.8¢	$1.6K	$463.04	+$245.99	57% 17059-13038 (30097)
38 38791873984189CTR	Underavg 49.7¢	$986.47	—	-$114.19	48% 70301-75984 (146285)
PA pauleta23CTR	Underavg 59.5¢	$69.4	—	-$69.4	65% 25418-13617 (39035)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Overavg 60¢	$100	$100	+$40	53% 3778-3377 (7155)
PA Pan9XCTR	Underavg 41.6¢	$280.57	—	-$29.57	52% 27288-24794 (52082)

Anon455ARB<$100

Invested

$1,888.93

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$751.6

Record

54%

4009-3371 (7380)

Both legs:

Under$1,459.2958.2¢$-1.5K

Over$429.4637.8¢+$707.83

Invested

$2,463.13

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$1.4K

Record

53%

13686-12064 (25750)

marvelousmarvinCTR

Invested

$1,050.68

Value

—

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

62%

55-34 (89)

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR

Invested

$900.79

Value

—

PnL

-$900.79

Record

50%

5216-5115 (10331)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$1,624.42

Value

$463.04

PnL

+$245.99

Record

57%

17059-13038 (30097)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$986.47

Value

—

PnL

-$114.19

Record

48%

70301-75984 (146285)

Invested

$69.4

Value

—

PnL

-$69.4

Record

65%

25418-13617 (39035)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$100

Value

$100

PnL

+$40

Record

53%

3778-3377 (7155)

Invested

$280.57

Value

—

PnL

-$29.57

Record

52%

27288-24794 (52082)

Smart Money Signal

Under

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3bc50c97...dbb460

Slug

nba-phi-chi-2026-11-08-total-247pt5

Traders in this Market

Anon455

Arbitrage — excluded

justaluckydude

Over — $2.5K

marvelousmarvin

Under — $0

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Under — $0

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $463.04

38791873984189

Under — $0

pauleta23

Under — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Over — $100

Pan9X

Under — $0

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