Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Thunder β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Thunder

Spread: Clippers (-3.5)
Resolved Thunder. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Thunder. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Thunder 60%
1 arb excluded
$3.2K
-$134.37
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Thunderavg 54Β’ | $1.3K | $2.4K | +$1.1K | 55% 1469-1221 (2690) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Clippersavg 51.2Β’ | $1.4K | β | $-1.4K | 51% 2426-2359 (4785) |
TA takeormake | Thunderavg 56.9Β’ | $279.28 | $491 | +$211.72 | 57% 3492-2606 (6098) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Thunderavg 47Β’ | $446.22 | $213.79 | +$205.46 | 49% 3640-3753 (7393) |
| β Thunder leg | Thunderavg 47Β’ | $100.48 | $213.79 | +$303.59 | |
| β Clippers leg | Clippersavg 16.9Β’ | $98.13 | β | -$98.13 | |
![]() RN1CTR | Clippersavg 52Β’ | $109.22 | β | -$109.22 | 56% 5169-4141 (9310) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Thunderavg 47Β’ | $16.92 | $36 | +$19.08 | 48% 1953-2074 (4027) |
Invested
$1,315.12
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
55%
1469-1221 (2690)
Invested
$1,372.3
Value
β
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
51%
2426-2359 (4785)
Invested
$279.28
Value
$491
PnL
+$211.72
Record
57%
3492-2606 (6098)
Invested
$446.22
Value
$213.79
PnL
+$205.46
Record
49%
3640-3753 (7393)
Both legs:
RN1CTRInvested
$109.22
Value
β
PnL
-$109.22
Record
56%
5169-4141 (9310)
Invested
$16.92
Value
$36
PnL
+$19.08
Record
48%
1953-2074 (4027)