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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Thunder — but Clippers won instead.

1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)

Resolved Clippers. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Thunder. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Thunder 17%

Total Value

$3.6K

Combined PnL

-$169.34

Smart Money Signal

Thunder

2 of 12 top traders (17%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Thunder0%

Clippers100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Clippers10 traders

Total Value$3.6K

Total Shares3,595

Combined PnL+$1.8K

Thunder2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,717

Combined PnL$-2.0K

Clippers — 83%Thunder — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Clippersavg 52.3¢	$1.5K	$1.9K	+$896.27	55% 1390-1158 (2548)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554	Clippersavg 40¢	$300	$750	+$450	45% 123-151 (274)
TO topdogbigboi	Clippersavg 52.9¢	$236.72	$437.34	+$200.62	37% 872-1456 (2328)
RN1	Clippersavg 53¢	$99.21	$178.4	+$79.2	56% 5116-4067 (9183)
SU suntoriCTR	Thunderavg 47.5¢	$2.0K	—	$-2.0K	45% 2387-2862 (5249)
38 38791873984189	Clippersavg 52.9¢	$147.46	$140.77	+$105.93	48% 2982-3276 (6258)
LR lryyy	Clippersavg 51.7¢	$63.32	$122.43	+$59.11	45% 731-911 (1642)
MI micky456<$100	Clippersavg 73¢	$23.36	$32	+$8.64	48% 505-558 (1063)
PA Pan9X<$100	Clippersavg 60.8¢	$13.75	$17	+$3.25	49% 1381-1418 (2799)
TA takeormake<$100	Clippersavg 73¢	$15.08	$16	+$0.92	57% 3443-2562 (6005)
VeryLucky888<$100	Clippersavg 39¢	$1.98	$5.08	+$3.1	54% 1217-1056 (2273)
TH thatsabing0CTR<$100	Thunderavg 61¢	$3.1	—	-$3.1	62% 191-117 (308)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$1,543.96

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$896.27

Record

55%

1390-1158 (2548)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

Invested

$300

Value

$750

PnL

+$450

Record

45%

123-151 (274)

Invested

$236.72

Value

$437.34

PnL

+$200.62

Record

37%

872-1456 (2328)

Invested

$99.21

Value

$178.4

PnL

+$79.2

Record

56%

5116-4067 (9183)

Invested

$1,973.45

Value

—

PnL

$-2.0K

Record

45%

2387-2862 (5249)

Invested

$147.46

Value

$140.77

PnL

+$105.93

Record

48%

2982-3276 (6258)

Invested

$63.32

Value

$122.43

PnL

+$59.11

Record

45%

731-911 (1642)

Invested

$23.36

Value

$32

PnL

+$8.64

Record

48%

505-558 (1063)

Invested

$13.75

Value

$17

PnL

+$3.25

Record

49%

1381-1418 (2799)

takeormake<$100

Invested

$15.08

Value

$16

PnL

+$0.92

Record

57%

3443-2562 (6005)

VeryLucky888<$100

Invested

$1.98

Value

$5.08

PnL

+$3.1

Record

54%

1217-1056 (2273)

thatsabing0CTR<$100

Invested

$3.1

Value

—

PnL

-$3.1

Record

62%

191-117 (308)

Smart Money Signal

Thunder

2 of 12 top traders (17%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x24a7bffa...03aee3

Slug

nba-okc-lac-2026-11-13-1h-spread-away-1pt5

Traders in this Market

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Clippers — $1.9K

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

Clippers — $750

topdogbigboi

Clippers — $437.34

RN1

Clippers — $178.4

suntori

Thunder — $0

38791873984189

Clippers — $140.77

lryyy

Clippers — $122.43

micky456

Clippers — $32

Pan9X

Clippers — $17

takeormake

Clippers — $16

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