Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 206.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Over 67%
1 arb excluded
$544.81
-$83.85
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 93Β’ | $249.21 | $232.34 | -$16.87 | 50% 3526-3585 (7111) |
![]() RN1 | Overavg 63Β’ | $159.39 | $253 | +$93.61 | 56% 5043-4004 (9047) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ARB<$100 | Underavg 13Β’ | $61 | $46 | -$15 | 54% 1316-1100 (2416) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 13Β’ | $32.68 | β | -$32.68 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 61.6Β’ | $28.32 | $46 | +$17.68 | |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 23Β’ | $62.56 | β | -$62.56 | 37% 924-1557 (2481) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR<$100 | Underavg 37Β’ | $99.82 | β | -$99.82 | 51% 467-449 (916) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Overavg 93Β’ | $8.37 | $9 | +$0.63 | 49% 1865-1975 (3840) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Overavg 74Β’ | $3.3 | $4.46 | +$1.16 | 53% 1556-1404 (2960) |
Invested
$249.21
Value
$232.34
PnL
-$16.87
Record
50%
3526-3585 (7111)
RN1Invested
$159.39
Value
$253
PnL
+$93.61
Record
56%
5043-4004 (9047)
Invested
$61
Value
$46
PnL
-$15
Record
54%
1316-1100 (2416)
Both legs:
Invested
$62.56
Value
β
PnL
-$62.56
Record
37%
924-1557 (2481)
Invested
$99.82
Value
β
PnL
-$99.82
Record
51%
467-449 (916)
Invested
$8.37
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.63
Record
49%
1865-1975 (3840)
Invested
$3.3
Value
$4.46
PnL
+$1.16
Record
53%
1556-1404 (2960)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Over β $232.34

RN1
Over β $253
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
ARBArbitrage β excluded
MadridTime
CTRUnder β $0
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
CTRUnder β $0
ferdinand2
Over β $9
ghorrock
Over β $4.46