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UnderOver
RN1<$100UnderOver
balthazarCTR<$100Over
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 60%
Total Value
$567.94
Combined PnL
-$292.78
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$567.94
Total Shares568
Combined PnL+$149.61
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,649
Combined PnL-$442.39
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 69.3¢ | $410.63 | $557.94 | +$147.31 | 50% 1318-1340 (2658) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Overavg 26.8¢ | $307.46 | — | -$307.46 | 56% 450-359 (809) |
RN1<$100 | Underavg 77¢ | $7.7 | $10 | +$2.3 | 58% 3695-2661 (6356) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR | Overavg 27¢ | $134.73 | — | -$134.73 | 54% 207-176 (383) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Overavg 1¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 50% 4474-4422 (8896) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$410.63
Value
$557.94
PnL
+$147.31
Record
50%
1318-1340 (2658)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTRInvested
$307.46
Value
—
PnL
-$307.46
Record
56%
450-359 (809)
RN1<$100Invested
$7.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.3
Record
58%
3695-2661 (6356)
0X
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTRInvested
$134.73
Value
—
PnL
-$134.73
Record
54%
207-176 (383)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
50%
4474-4422 (8896)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa7e29a04...5af945
Slug
nba-nop-gsw-2026-11-09-total-238pt5