Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 253.5
Resolved Over. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Over 55%
2 arb excluded
$3.7K
$85.31
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 86.7¢ | $4.0K | $2.3K | -$9.11 | 51% 23065-21883 (44948) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Overavg 90.1¢ | $3.1K | $1.1K | +$108.3 | 52% 3903-3554 (7457) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 83.4¢ | $82.69 | $75.75 | -$6.94 | 51% 7139-6898 (14037) |
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100 | Underavg 10.3¢ | $413.61 | $23 | -$30.85 | 51% 4404-4284 (8688) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 10.3¢ | $40.04 | — | -$40.05 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 60¢ | $13.8 | $23 | +$9.2 | |
TA takeormake<$100 | Overavg 64¢ | $69 | $69 | +$24.84 | 53% 4558-4042 (8600) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Underavg 9¢ | $48.37 | $31.81 | -$12.87 | 47% 14094-15610 (29704) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 9¢ | $24.19 | — | -$21.31 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 73.5¢ | $23.37 | $31.81 | +$8.44 | |
AN Anon455<$100 | Overavg 70¢ | $96.44 | $16.93 | -$3.67 | 55% 3246-2649 (5895) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Overavg 88¢ | $20 | $20 | +$2.4 | 48% 5999-6422 (12421) |
DI dips.CTR<$100 | Underavg 11¢ | $84 | — | -$9.24 | 46% 7526-8753 (16279) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Underavg 11¢ | $4.62 | — | -$4.62 | 48% 5221-5590 (10811) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 41¢ | $8.2 | — | -$8.2 | 59% 31194-21881 (53075) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Underavg 80¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 57% 17750-13286 (31036) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR<$100 | Underavg 73¢ | $5 | — | -$3.65 | 50% 4150-4104 (8254) |
Invested
$4,006.97
Value
$2.3K
PnL
-$9.11
Record
51%
23065-21883 (44948)
Invested
$3,145.68
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$108.3
Record
52%
3903-3554 (7457)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$82.69
Value
$75.75
PnL
-$6.94
Record
51%
7139-6898 (14037)
Invested
$413.61
Value
$23
PnL
-$30.85
Record
51%
4404-4284 (8688)
Both legs:
Invested
$69
Value
$69
PnL
+$24.84
Record
53%
4558-4042 (8600)
Invested
$48.37
Value
$31.81
PnL
-$12.87
Record
47%
14094-15610 (29704)
Both legs:
Invested
$96.44
Value
$16.93
PnL
-$3.67
Record
55%
3246-2649 (5895)
Invested
$20
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.4
Record
48%
5999-6422 (12421)
Invested
$84
Value
—
PnL
-$9.24
Record
46%
7526-8753 (16279)
Invested
$4.62
Value
—
PnL
-$4.62
Record
48%
5221-5590 (10811)
Invested
$8.2
Value
—
PnL
-$8.2
Record
59%
31194-21881 (53075)
Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
57%
17750-13286 (31036)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.65
Record
50%
4150-4104 (8254)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Over — $2.3K
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Over — $1.1K
HRTrading
Over — $75.75
6512395314597884
ARBArbitrage — excluded
takeormake
Over — $69
38791873984189
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Anon455
Over — $16.93
ferdinand2
Over — $20
dips.
CTRUnder — $0
smithagent
CTRUnder — $0