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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Raptors — but Grizzlies won instead.

Spread: Grizzlies (-13.5)

Resolved Grizzlies. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Raptors. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Raptors 64%

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

-$877.35

Smart Money Signal

Raptors

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Grizzlies100%
Raptors0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Raptors7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,360
Combined PnL$-2.1K
Grizzlies4 traders
Total Value$1.4K
Total Shares1,435
Combined PnL+$1.2K
Raptors — 64%Grizzlies — 36%
FL
FlaznorpCTR
Raptors

Invested

$1,285.06

Value

—

PnL

-$702.38

Record

53%

330-294 (624)

0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR
Raptors

Invested

$1,185.75

Value

—

PnL

-$692.57

Record

53%

214-189 (403)

65
6512395314597884CTR
Raptors

Invested

$308

Value

—

PnL

-$308

Record

43%

131-176 (307)

38
38791873984189CTR
Raptors

Invested

$191.49

Value

—

PnL

-$191.49

Record

49%

427-449 (876)

AN
Anon455CTR
Raptors

Invested

$159.1

Value

—

PnL

-$159.1

Record

48%

86-95 (181)

RN1
Grizzlies

Invested

$716

Value

$716

PnL

+$605.14

Record

52%

287-270 (557)

PA
Pan9XCTR<$100
Raptors

Invested

$91.42

Value

—

PnL

-$43.41

Record

49%

193-198 (391)

VE
Venusian
Grizzlies

Invested

$35.21

Value

$370.59

PnL

+$335.38

Record

27%

128-350 (478)

SU
suitcase6628
Grizzlies

Invested

$42.16

Value

$248

PnL

+$205.84

Record

61%

78-49 (127)

CI
cigarettes
Grizzlies

Invested

$25

Value

$100

PnL

+$75

Record

46%

175-208 (383)

nigiri99CTR<$100
Raptors

Invested

$1.76

Value

—

PnL

-$1.76

Record

41%

29-42 (71)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x357e3563...2df496
Slug
nba-mem-tor-2026-11-09-spread-away-13pt5

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

CTR

Raptors — $0

-$702.38
0X

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

CTR

Raptors — $0

-$692.57
65

6512395314597884

CTR

Raptors — $0

-$308
38

38791873984189

CTR

Raptors — $0

-$191.49
AN

Anon455

CTR

Raptors — $0

-$159.1

RN1

Grizzlies — $716

+$605.14
PA

Pan9X

CTR

Raptors — $0

-$43.41
VE

Venusian

Grizzlies — $370.59

+$335.38
SU

suitcase6628

Grizzlies — $248

+$205.84
CI

cigarettes

Grizzlies — $100

+$75
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