Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Lakers — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Lakers
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
Resolved Lakers. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Lakers. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Lakers 64%
2 arb excluded
$2.1K
-$453.05
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100 | Kingsavg 39¢ | $10.1K | $616.39 | $-3.4K | 54% 18155-15267 (33422) |
| └ Lakers leg | Lakersavg 57.1¢ | $351.77 | $616.39 | +$264.56 | |
| └ Kings leg | Kingsavg 39¢ | $3.7K | — | $-3.7K | |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Lakersavg 61¢ | $413.11 | $413.11 | +$161.12 | 51% 1887-1835 (3722) |
TA takeormake | Lakersavg 53.3¢ | $496.99 | $299 | +$81.09 | 53% 4842-4378 (9220) |
38 38791873984189 | Lakersavg 87.1¢ | $782.49 | $241.6 | -$66.77 | 48% 60543-65164 (125707) |
FL Flaznorp | Lakersavg 59.7¢ | $288.83 | $222.46 | +$23.29 | 51% 25463-24164 (49627) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Lakersavg 98.1¢ | $397.42 | $188 | -$30.5 | 60% 2581-1695 (4276) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375ARB<$100 | Kingsavg 52.3¢ | $1.2K | $29.28 | -$607 | 50% 4392-4322 (8714) |
| └ Kings leg | Kingsavg 52.3¢ | $620.15 | — | -$620.18 | |
| └ Lakers leg | Lakersavg 55¢ | $16.1 | $29.28 | +$13.18 | |
NM NM-PCTR | Kingsavg 39¢ | $731.98 | — | -$298.31 | 64% 9816-5452 (15268) |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Lakersavg 78¢ | $45 | $45 | +$9.9 | 48% 5389-5891 (11280) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Lakersavg 58¢ | $38 | $38 | +$15.96 | 50% 21060-21316 (42376) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Lakersavg 71¢ | $30 | $30 | +$8.7 | 53% 12084-10599 (22683) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Lakersavg 57¢ | $16.64 | $16.64 | +$7.16 | 58% 20201-14846 (35047) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Kingsavg 25.7¢ | $64.17 | — | -$43.44 | 50% 4375-4378 (8753) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Kingsavg 39¢ | $456.92 | — | -$178.4 | 58% 46176-33333 (79509) |
GA GaditimaCTR | Kingsavg 48¢ | $250 | — | -$120 | 48% 7251-7943 (15194) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Kingsavg 48¢ | $22.84 | — | -$22.84 | 46% 1488-1751 (3239) |
Invested
$10,080.01
Value
$616.39
PnL
$-3.4K
Record
54%
18155-15267 (33422)
Both legs:
Invested
$413.11
Value
$413.11
PnL
+$161.12
Record
51%
1887-1835 (3722)
Invested
$496.99
Value
$299
PnL
+$81.09
Record
53%
4842-4378 (9220)
Invested
$782.49
Value
$241.6
PnL
-$66.77
Record
48%
60543-65164 (125707)
Invested
$288.83
Value
$222.46
PnL
+$23.29
Record
51%
25463-24164 (49627)
Invested
$397.42
Value
$188
PnL
-$30.5
Record
60%
2581-1695 (4276)
Invested
$1,234.5
Value
$29.28
PnL
-$607
Record
50%
4392-4322 (8714)
Both legs:
Invested
$731.98
Value
—
PnL
-$298.31
Record
64%
9816-5452 (15268)
Invested
$45
Value
$45
PnL
+$9.9
Record
48%
5389-5891 (11280)
Invested
$38
Value
$38
PnL
+$15.96
Record
50%
21060-21316 (42376)
Invested
$30
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.7
Record
53%
12084-10599 (22683)
Invested
$16.64
Value
$16.64
PnL
+$7.16
Record
58%
20201-14846 (35047)
Invested
$64.17
Value
—
PnL
-$43.44
Record
50%
4375-4378 (8753)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$456.92
Value
—
PnL
-$178.4
Record
58%
46176-33333 (79509)
Invested
$250
Value
—
PnL
-$120
Record
48%
7251-7943 (15194)
Invested
$22.84
Value
—
PnL
-$22.84
Record
46%
1488-1751 (3239)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
HomeRunHazard
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
Lakers — $413.11
takeormake
Lakers — $299
38791873984189
Lakers — $241.6
Flaznorp
Lakers — $222.46
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Lakers — $188
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
ARBArbitrage — excluded
NM-P
CTRKings — $0
SlickRick123
Lakers — $45
omnibus-076daa
Lakers — $38