Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Lakers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 120.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Under 80%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
$296.28
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() dips. | Underavg 69.3Β’ | $343.82 | $496 | +$152.18 | 48% 1360-1476 (2836) |
MI micky456 | Underavg 63.3Β’ | $291 | $460 | +$169 | 48% 654-715 (1369) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ARB<$100 | Overavg 33.6Β’ | $397.99 | $100 | -$297.99 | 54% 2084-1743 (3827) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 33.6Β’ | $323.99 | β | -$323.99 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 74Β’ | $74 | $100 | +$26 | |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 26Β’ | $26 | β | -$26 | 53% 7633-6716 (14349) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Underavg 99Β’ | $9.59 | $9.69 | +$0.1 | 98% 703-11 (714) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 53Β’ | $1.13 | $2.13 | +$1 | 39% 1738-2713 (4451) |
dips.Invested
$343.82
Value
$496
PnL
+$152.18
Record
48%
1360-1476 (2836)
Invested
$291
Value
$460
PnL
+$169
Record
48%
654-715 (1369)
Invested
$397.99
Value
$100
PnL
-$297.99
Record
54%
2084-1743 (3827)
Both legs:
Invested
$26
Value
β
PnL
-$26
Record
53%
7633-6716 (14349)
Invested
$9.59
Value
$9.69
PnL
+$0.1
Record
98%
703-11 (714)
Invested
$1.13
Value
$2.13
PnL
+$1
Record
39%
1738-2713 (4451)