Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 210.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Over 60%
1 arb excluded
$2.6K
$219.88
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 80.9Β’ | $1.8K | $2.0K | +$185.92 | 51% 2141-2070 (4211) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ARB<$100 | Underavg 19.1Β’ | $1.6K | $61 | -$221.87 | 55% 843-701 (1544) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 19.1Β’ | $129.05 | β | +$274.51 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 88.5Β’ | $53.98 | $61 | -$496.38 | |
65 6512395314597884 | Overavg 69.8Β’ | $161.85 | $212.13 | +$50.28 | 50% 3334-3292 (6626) |
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 78.3Β’ | $170.06 | $217.31 | +$47.25 | 47% 1681-1866 (3547) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 69Β’ | $76.31 | $99 | +$22.69 | 36% 410-719 (1129) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR<$100 | Underavg 31Β’ | $92.69 | β | -$92.69 | 53% 305-275 (580) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Overavg 78.3Β’ | $35.07 | $38.33 | +$3.26 | 57% 4155-3181 (7336) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Overavg 84Β’ | $9.98 | $11.88 | +$1.9 | 55% 729-596 (1325) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 11.6Β’ | $42.46 | β | +$3.54 | 49% 973-998 (1971) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Underavg 16Β’ | $1.9 | β | -$1.9 | 47% 1320-1474 (2794) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Underavg 27Β’ | $0.37 | β | -$0.37 | 49% 786-829 (1615) |
Invested
$1,764.1
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$185.92
Record
51%
2141-2070 (4211)
Invested
$1,590.97
Value
$61
PnL
-$221.87
Record
55%
843-701 (1544)
Both legs:
Invested
$161.85
Value
$212.13
PnL
+$50.28
Record
50%
3334-3292 (6626)
Invested
$170.06
Value
$217.31
PnL
+$47.25
Record
47%
1681-1866 (3547)
Invested
$76.31
Value
$99
PnL
+$22.69
Record
36%
410-719 (1129)
Invested
$92.69
Value
β
PnL
-$92.69
Record
53%
305-275 (580)
RN1<$100Invested
$35.07
Value
$38.33
PnL
+$3.26
Record
57%
4155-3181 (7336)
Invested
$9.98
Value
$11.88
PnL
+$1.9
Record
55%
729-596 (1325)
Invested
$42.46
Value
β
PnL
+$3.54
Record
49%
973-998 (1971)
Invested
$1.9
Value
β
PnL
-$1.9
Record
47%
1320-1474 (2794)
Invested
$0.37
Value
β
PnL
-$0.37
Record
49%
786-829 (1615)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Over β $2.0K
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
ARBArbitrage β excluded
6512395314597884
Over β $212.13
38791873984189
Over β $217.31
topdogbigboi
Over β $99
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
CTRUnder β $0

RN1
Over β $38.33
ghorrock
Over β $11.88
ferdinand2
CTRUnder β $0
suntori
CTRUnder β $0