Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Lakers — but Bucks won instead.
Spread: Lakers (-19.5)
Resolved Bucks. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Lakers. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Lakers 43%
$952.61
-$25.49
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Bucksavg 45¢ | $304.86 | $668.44 | +$363.58 | 51% 2280-2184 (4464) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR | Lakersavg 56.4¢ | $485.74 | $243.5 | -$226.47 | 53% 356-319 (675) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Bucksavg 43.9¢ | $12.93 | $29.45 | +$16.52 | 50% 1068-1081 (2149) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Bucksavg 64¢ | $5.72 | $8.94 | +$3.22 | 41% 483-698 (1181) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Bucksavg 62¢ | $1.41 | $2.27 | +$0.86 | 47% 385-437 (822) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Lakersavg 47¢ | $44.34 | $0.01 | -$44.33 | 54% 930-784 (1714) |
 RN1CTR | Lakersavg 53¢ | $138.86 | — | -$138.86 | 57% 4253-3271 (7524) |
Invested
$304.86
Value
$668.44
PnL
+$363.58
Record
51%
2280-2184 (4464)
Invested
$485.74
Value
$243.5
PnL
-$226.47
Record
53%
356-319 (675)
Invested
$12.93
Value
$29.45
PnL
+$16.52
Record
50%
1068-1081 (2149)
Invested
$5.72
Value
$8.94
PnL
+$3.22
Record
41%
483-698 (1181)
Invested
$1.41
Value
$2.27
PnL
+$0.86
Record
47%
385-437 (822)
Invested
$44.34
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$44.33
Record
54%
930-784 (1714)
RN1CTRInvested
$138.86
Value
—
PnL
-$138.86
Record
57%
4253-3271 (7524)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Bucks — $668.44
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
CTRLakers — $243.5
ferdinand2
Bucks — $29.45
sentrio
Bucks — $8.94
SnakeBall
Bucks — $2.27
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTRLakers — $0.01
RN1
CTRLakers — $0