Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 113.5
Resolved Over. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Under 43%
$323.57
$8.86
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JO JoeyAroyyOO | Overavg 40Β’ | $98.4 | $246 | +$147.6 | 48% 131-144 (275) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Underavg 60Β’ | $144.08 | β | -$144.08 | 48% 3997-4384 (8381) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 80Β’ | $40.38 | $50 | +$9.62 | 39% 1595-2514 (4109) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Overavg 52Β’ | $11.91 | $22.9 | +$10.99 | 46% 653-760 (1413) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 48Β’ | $10.99 | β | -$10.99 | 54% 6042-5119 (11161) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Underavg 60Β’ | $5.4 | β | -$5.4 | 50% 2197-2203 (4400) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100 | Overavg 76Β’ | $3.55 | $4.67 | +$1.12 | 54% 1975-1650 (3625) |
Invested
$98.4
Value
$246
PnL
+$147.6
Record
48%
131-144 (275)
Invested
$144.08
Value
β
PnL
-$144.08
Record
48%
3997-4384 (8381)
Invested
$40.38
Value
$50
PnL
+$9.62
Record
39%
1595-2514 (4109)
Invested
$11.91
Value
$22.9
PnL
+$10.99
Record
46%
653-760 (1413)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$10.99
Value
β
PnL
-$10.99
Record
54%
6042-5119 (11161)
Invested
$5.4
Value
β
PnL
-$5.4
Record
50%
2197-2203 (4400)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$4.67
PnL
+$1.12
Record
54%
1975-1650 (3625)