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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5

Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Over 50%

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

-$38.92

Smart Money Signal

Over

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under6 traders
Total Value$1.4K
Total Shares1,403
Combined PnL+$643.87
Over6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,379
Combined PnL-$682.79
Under — 50%Over — 50%
VeryLucky888
Under

Invested

$408.74

Value

$750

PnL

+$341.26

Record

52%

597-541 (1138)

PU
purplegattoCTR
Over

Invested

$452.46

Value

—

PnL

-$452.46

Record

69%

2589-1187 (3776)

0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Under

Invested

$609.72

Value

$355.57

PnL

+$145.02

Record

55%

843-701 (1544)

RN1<$100
Under

Invested

$19.4

Value

$68.07

PnL

+$48.66

Record

57%

4155-3181 (7336)

38
38791873984189<$100
Under

Invested

$68.38

Value

$53.72

PnL

+$22.34

Record

47%

1681-1866 (3547)

0X
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3
Under

Invested

$86.19

Value

$169

PnL

+$82.81

Record

59%

450-313 (763)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$33.35

Value

—

PnL

-$33.35

Record

36%

410-719 (1129)

SM
smithagent<$100
Under

Invested

$3.22

Value

$7

PnL

+$3.78

Record

42%

282-393 (675)

JO
JoeyAroyyOOCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$6.9

Value

—

PnL

-$6.9

Record

50%

109-110 (219)

dips.CTR
Over

Invested

$120.36

Value

—

PnL

-$120.36

Record

45%

436-533 (969)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$40.47

Value

—

PnL

-$40.47

Record

47%

1320-1474 (2794)

TA
takeormakeCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$29.25

Value

—

PnL

-$29.25

Record

58%

3230-2327 (5557)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xfd392fc2...4ef5e6
Slug
nba-gsw-hou-2026-11-11-1h-total-108pt5

Traders in this Market

VeryLucky888

Under — $750

+$341.26
PU

purplegatto

CTR

Over — $0

-$452.46
0X

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Under — $355.57

+$145.02

RN1

Under — $68.07

+$48.66
38

38791873984189

Under — $53.72

+$22.34
0X

0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3

Under — $169

+$82.81
TO

topdogbigboi

CTR

Over — $0

-$33.35
SM

smithagent

Under — $7

+$3.78
JO

JoeyAroyyOO

CTR

Over — $0

-$6.9

dips.

CTR

Over — $0

-$120.36
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