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HeatHeatPistonsPistonsPistons
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Pistons — but Heat won instead.
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)
Resolved Heat. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Pistons. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Pistons 75%
Total Value
$5.71
Combined PnL
-$0.44
Smart Money Signal
Pistons
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Pistons0%
Heat100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Heat2 traders
Total Value$5.71
Total Shares6
Combined PnL+$1.6
Pistons3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares16
Combined PnL-$2.04
Heat — 40%Pistons — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Heatavg 72¢ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 58% 3808-2767 (6575) |
MI micky456<$100 | Heatavg 72¢ | $0.51 | $0.71 | +$0.2 | 47% 602-678 (1280) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Pistonsavg 11¢ | $0.63 | — | -$0.63 | 50% 1931-1953 (3884) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Pistonsavg 4¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 48% 3662-4031 (7693) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Pistonsavg 24¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 38% 1216-2009 (3225) |
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
58%
3808-2767 (6575)
MI
micky456<$100Invested
$0.51
Value
$0.71
PnL
+$0.2
Record
47%
602-678 (1280)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$0.63
Value
—
PnL
-$0.63
Record
50%
1931-1953 (3884)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
48%
3662-4031 (7693)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
38%
1216-2009 (3225)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9e2d832f...64c8df
Slug
nba-det-mia-2026-11-14-spread-away-12pt5