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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Cavaliers — but Hornets won instead.

Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)

Resolved Hornets. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Cavaliers. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Cavaliers 69%

Total Value

$960.52

Combined PnL

$-1.5K

Smart Money Signal

Cavaliers

9 of 13 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Cavaliers0%

Hornets100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Hornets4 traders

Total Value$960.52

Total Shares961

Combined PnL+$51.43

Cavaliers9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,342

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Hornets — 31%Cavaliers — 69%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
65 6512395314597884	Hornetsavg 49¢	$524.53	$537.72	+$13.19	43% 131-176 (307)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Cavaliersavg 28.9¢	$452.98	—	-$459.25	53% 330-294 (624)
JU justaluckydude	Hornetsavg 50¢	$270.9	$334	+$63.1	26% 55-158 (213)
RN1CTR	Cavaliersavg 51.9¢	$503.78	—	-$503.78	52% 287-270 (557)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Cavaliersavg 48.8¢	$235.59	—	-$235.59	28% 121-308 (429)
38 38791873984189<$100	Hornetsavg 91¢	$78.8	$78.8	+$2.01	49% 427-449 (876)
PA Pan9X<$100	Hornetsavg 93.6¢	$99.51	$10	-$26.87	49% 193-198 (391)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR	Cavaliersavg 52.9¢	$252.55	—	-$137.84	53% 214-189 (403)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Cavaliersavg 42¢	$23.69	—	-$23.13	48% 77-84 (161)
AN Anon455CTR	Cavaliersavg 50¢	$167	—	-$167	48% 86-95 (181)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Cavaliersavg 2.1¢	$0.02	—	-$0.03	46% 175-208 (383)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Cavaliersavg 50¢	$4.92	—	-$4.92	27% 128-350 (478)
TA takeormakeCTR<$100	Cavaliersavg 15¢	$0.79	—	-$0.79	22% 84-295 (379)

6512395314597884

Invested

$524.53

Value

$537.72

PnL

+$13.19

Record

43%

131-176 (307)

Invested

$452.98

Value

—

PnL

-$459.25

Record

53%

330-294 (624)

Invested

$270.9

Value

$334

PnL

+$63.1

Record

26%

55-158 (213)

Invested

$503.78

Value

—

PnL

-$503.78

Record

52%

287-270 (557)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR

Invested

$235.59

Value

—

PnL

-$235.59

Record

28%

121-308 (429)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$78.8

Value

$78.8

PnL

+$2.01

Record

49%

427-449 (876)

Invested

$99.51

Value

$10

PnL

-$26.87

Record

49%

193-198 (391)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR

Invested

$252.55

Value

—

PnL

-$137.84

Record

53%

214-189 (403)

SnakeBallCTR<$100

Invested

$23.69

Value

—

PnL

-$23.13

Record

48%

77-84 (161)

Invested

$167

Value

—

PnL

-$167

Record

48%

86-95 (181)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Invested

$0.02

Value

—

PnL

-$0.03

Record

46%

175-208 (383)

VenusianCTR<$100

Invested

$4.92

Value

—

PnL

-$4.92

Record

27%

128-350 (478)

takeormakeCTR<$100

Invested

$0.79

Value

—

PnL

-$0.79

Record

22%

84-295 (379)

Smart Money Signal

Cavaliers

9 of 13 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2a1c4cf7...689603

Slug

nba-cle-cha-2026-11-09-spread-away-10pt5

Traders in this Market

6512395314597884

Hornets — $537.72

Flaznorp

Cavaliers — $0

justaluckydude

Hornets — $334

RN1

Cavaliers — $0

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Cavaliers — $0

38791873984189

Hornets — $78.8

Pan9X

Hornets — $10

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Cavaliers — $0

SnakeBall

Cavaliers — $0

Anon455

Cavaliers — $0

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