Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Hornets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 104.5
Resolved Under. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Over 57%
$744.49
-$836.87
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JO JoeyAroyyOOCTR | Overavg 59Β’ | $1.1K | β | $-1.1K | 49% 136-144 (280) |
![]() VeryLucky888 | Underavg 44Β’ | $220 | $500 | +$280 | 54% 2045-1764 (3809) |
38 38791873984189 | Underavg 44.5Β’ | $127.64 | $243 | +$133.84 | 48% 4150-4555 (8705) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Overavg 53Β’ | $6.89 | β | -$6.89 | 44% 360-455 (815) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 58Β’ | $5.22 | β | -$5.22 | 50% 2305-2302 (4607) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Overavg 65Β’ | $182.49 | β | -$182.49 | 54% 2084-1743 (3827) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 33Β’ | $0.49 | $1.49 | +$1 | 39% 1738-2713 (4451) |
Invested
$1,057.11
Value
β
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
49%
136-144 (280)
VeryLucky888Invested
$220
Value
$500
PnL
+$280
Record
54%
2045-1764 (3809)
Invested
$127.64
Value
$243
PnL
+$133.84
Record
48%
4150-4555 (8705)
Invested
$6.89
Value
β
PnL
-$6.89
Record
44%
360-455 (815)
Invested
$5.22
Value
β
PnL
-$5.22
Record
50%
2305-2302 (4607)
Invested
$182.49
Value
β
PnL
-$182.49
Record
54%
2084-1743 (3827)
Invested
$0.49
Value
$1.49
PnL
+$1
Record
39%
1738-2713 (4451)