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OverUnderUnderUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 201.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
Total Value
$23.23
Combined PnL
-$4.94
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$23.23
Total Shares23
Combined PnL+$1.36
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares122
Combined PnL-$6.3
Over β 20%Under β 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 94.1Β’ | $21.87 | $23.23 | +$1.36 | 49% 4352-4620 (8972) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 5Β’ | $4.94 | β | -$4.94 | 38% 1223-2021 (3244) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Underavg 1Β’ | $0.13 | β | -$0.13 | 55% 1779-1463 (3242) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Underavg 2Β’ | $0.21 | β | -$0.21 | 53% 2078-1852 (3930) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Underavg 9Β’ | $1.15 | β | -$1.02 | 36% 1595-2778 (4373) |
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$21.87
Value
$23.23
PnL
+$1.36
Record
49%
4352-4620 (8972)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$4.94
Value
β
PnL
-$4.94
Record
38%
1223-2021 (3244)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100Invested
$0.13
Value
β
PnL
-$0.13
Record
55%
1779-1463 (3242)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$0.21
Value
β
PnL
-$0.21
Record
53%
2078-1852 (3930)
AN
anothercoinCTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
β
PnL
-$1.02
Record
36%
1595-2778 (4373)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xda43aedf...e8fed4
Slug
nba-bkn-mem-2026-11-14-total-201pt5