Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 220.5
Resolved Over. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Over 38%
1 arb excluded
$831.9
$63.84
Smart Money Signal
3 of 8 top traders (38%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() fxwd12345 | Overavg 84Β’ | $600 | $714.29 | +$114.29 | 73% 44-16 (60) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 23Β’ | $217.66 | $109.53 | -$108.13 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 78Β’ | $85.43 | $109.53 | +$24.1 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 23Β’ | $132.23 | β | -$132.23 | |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Underavg 14.2Β’ | $569.69 | β | +$13.22 | 55% 1350-1126 (2476) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 19.8Β’ | $36.5 | β | -$36.5 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Underavg 9Β’ | $7.92 | β | -$7.92 | 45% 712-885 (1597) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Underavg 20.2Β’ | $15.73 | β | -$15.73 | 48% 2942-3249 (6191) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Overavg 78Β’ | $3.9 | $5 | +$1.1 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Underavg 16Β’ | $6.88 | β | -$5.64 | 49% 1349-1396 (2745) |
TA takeormake<$100 | Overavg 67Β’ | $2.07 | $3.09 | +$1.02 | 58% 3436-2532 (5968) |
fxwd12345Invested
$600
Value
$714.29
PnL
+$114.29
Record
73%
44-16 (60)
Invested
$217.66
Value
$109.53
PnL
-$108.13
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Both legs:
Invested
$569.69
Value
β
PnL
+$13.22
Record
55%
1350-1126 (2476)
Invested
$36.5
Value
β
PnL
-$36.5
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
Invested
$7.92
Value
β
PnL
-$7.92
Record
45%
712-885 (1597)
Invested
$15.73
Value
β
PnL
-$15.73
Record
48%
2942-3249 (6191)
Invested
$3.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.1
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
Invested
$6.88
Value
β
PnL
-$5.64
Record
49%
1349-1396 (2745)
Invested
$2.07
Value
$3.09
PnL
+$1.02
Record
58%
3436-2532 (5968)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

fxwd12345
Over β $714.29
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTRUnder β $0
topdogbigboi
CTRUnder β $0
lryyy
CTRUnder β $0
38791873984189
CTRUnder β $0
ferdinand2
Over β $5
Pan9X
CTRUnder β $0
takeormake
Over β $3.09