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YesYes
kinderSmanYes
Haradwaith<$100Yes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100NoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 60%
Total Value
$1.4K
Combined PnL
-$282.77
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$1.4K
Total Shares1,382
Combined PnL+$118.81
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,355
Combined PnL-$401.57
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme | Yesavg 83.6¢ | $493.54 | $568.41 | +$74.87 | 41% 3164-4511 (7675) |
KU kukubaja | Yesavg 99.2¢ | $407.79 | $410.95 | +$3.16 | — 13-6 (19) |
kinderSman | Yesavg 89.9¢ | $362.28 | $403.06 | +$40.78 | — 4-1 (5) |
Haradwaith<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 55% 48-40 (88) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Noavg 2¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 13% 28-182 (210) |
CH chunqiuCTR | Noavg 18.2¢ | $398.25 | — | -$398.25 | — |
XT
xtxpleasecallmeInvested
$493.54
Value
$568.41
PnL
+$74.87
Record
41%
3164-4511 (7675)
KU
kukubajaInvested
$407.79
Value
$410.95
PnL
+$3.16
Record
—
13-6 (19)
kinderSmanInvested
$362.28
Value
$403.06
PnL
+$40.78
Record
—
4-1 (5)
Haradwaith<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
48-40 (88)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
13%
28-182 (210)
CH
chunqiuCTRInvested
$398.25
Value
—
PnL
-$398.25
Record
—
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1f2f8b7d...aa0b3b
Slug
microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31