LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 2 Winner

5 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Saigon Warriors (63%) · Saigon Warriors at 89¢ · $1K held · ends Nov 10

Saigon Warriors89¢Gromp Esports11¢Ends Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Saigon Warriors

Consensus Traders

Saigon Warriors 63%

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

$2.5

Smart Money Entry

88.5¢ → 89¢

+1% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralSaigon Warriors at 89%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Saigon Warriors

5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Saigon Warriors89%

Gromp Esports11%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Saigon Warriors5 traders

Total Value$1.4K

Total Shares1,564

Combined PnL+$1.99

Gromp Esports3 traders

Total Value$9.61

Total Shares58

Combined PnL+$0.51

Saigon Warriors — 63%Gromp Esports — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Saigon Warriorsavg 89¢	$916.62	$921.13	+$4.51	56% 3774-2942 (6716)
arjennnnn	Saigon Warriorsavg 90¢	$226.02	$223.51	-$2.51	68% 516-238 (754)
CO ColdBlooded	Saigon Warriorsavg 82.8¢	$148.98	$150.21	+$1.23	— 4-1 (5)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100	Saigon Warriorsavg 90¢	$99.99	$98.88	-$1.11	9% 35-367 (402)
SE sentrio<$100	Saigon Warriorsavg 89¢	$14.42	$14.29	-$0.13	29% 152-375 (527)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Gromp Esportsavg 18¢	$5	$4.58	-$0.42	40% 3001-4411 (7412)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Gromp Esportsavg 11¢	$1.71	$2.56	+$0.85	52% 231-215 (446)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Gromp Esportsavg 16¢	$2.39	$2.47	+$0.07	22% 133-482 (615)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$916.62

Value

$921.13

PnL

+$4.51

Record

56%

3774-2942 (6716)

arjennnnn

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$226.02

Value

$223.51

PnL

-$2.51

Record

68%

516-238 (754)

ColdBlooded

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$148.98

Value

$150.21

PnL

+$1.23

Record

—

4-1 (5)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$99.99

Value

$98.88

PnL

-$1.11

Record

35-367 (402)

sentrio<$100

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$14.42

Value

$14.29

PnL

-$0.13

Record

29%

152-375 (527)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Gromp Esports

Invested

Value

$4.58

PnL

-$0.42

Record

40%

3001-4411 (7412)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Gromp Esports

Invested

$1.71

Value

$2.56

PnL

+$0.85

Record

52%

231-215 (446)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

Gromp Esports

Invested

$2.39

Value

$2.47

PnL

+$0.07

Record

22%

133-482 (615)

Research grade

NeutralSaigon Warriors at 89%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Saigon Warriors

5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Saigon Warriors wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance90.5%

89.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.4¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$10.56

Max Loss

-$100.00

110.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.