LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 3 Winner

13 of 20 top Polymarket traders hold Ground Zero Gaming (65%) · Ground Zero Gaming at 100¢ · $16K held · ends Nov 11

Ground Zero Gaming>99¢Frank Esports<1¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Ground Zero Gaming

Consensus Traders

Ground Zero Gaming 65%

Total Value

$16.1K

Combined PnL

$-4.3K

Smart Money Entry

61.9¢ → 100¢

+61% since entry · 13 traders

Research grade

NeutralGround Zero Gaming at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Ground Zero Gaming

13 of 20 top traders (65%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Ground Zero Gaming100%

Frank Esports0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Ground Zero Gaming13 traders

Total Value$14.8K

Total Shares14,825

Combined PnL+$2.7K

Frank Esports7 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares17,482

Combined PnL$-7.0K

Ground Zero Gaming — 65%Frank Esports — 35%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

13 traders

Top 2 hold 47%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBroad

68% of non-arb traders are on Ground Zero Gaming. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 47% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpGround Zero Gaming 100% · 1

Aligned

sniperGround Zero Gaming 50% · 2

Aligned

ctrGround Zero Gaming 57% · 7

Aligned

Top 1000Ground Zero Gaming 68% · 19

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Ground Zero Gamingavg 62.4¢	$4.4K	$4.6K	+$165.11	56% 3836-3008 (6844)
Malfunction-	Ground Zero Gamingavg 96.4¢	$2.4K	$2.5K	+$89.18	98% 121-2 (123)
31 319113331313111	Ground Zero Gamingavg 43.5¢	$1.3K	$1.7K	+$831.88	51% 61-59 (120)
BR brobrobrobrobro	Ground Zero Gamingavg 49¢	$1.4K	$1.6K	+$161.9	10% 3-28 (31)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f	Ground Zero Gamingavg 53.3¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	+$32.73	65% 52-28 (80)
LR lryyy	Ground Zero Gamingavg 55.8¢	$984.02	$1.5K	+$715.22	46% 231-275 (506)
SK skadiiCTR	Frank Esportsavg 43¢	$2.2K	$1.1K	$-1.1K	— 3-1 (4)
TE testBruno2	Ground Zero Gamingavg 47.6¢	$796.86	$824.84	+$391.95	37% 22-37 (59)
CA calculate10	Ground Zero Gamingavg 57.8¢	$836.03	$344.94	+$266.83	22% 26-92 (118)
alpheclabs2CTR	Frank Esportsavg 41.1¢	$678.45	$172.65	-$505.79	46% 109-130 (239)
SE sentrio<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 58¢	$69.49	$80.13	+$10.64	37% 339-567 (906)
NO norm1e69<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 84¢	$42	$49.98	+$7.98	44% 1371-1730 (3101)
38 38791873984189<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 69¢	$26.19	$27.79	+$1.6	48% 1286-1384 (2670)
GH ghorrock<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 67.3¢	$14.95	$22.18	+$7.23	54% 553-471 (1024)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 70¢	$4.95	$5.15	+$0.2	31% 278-610 (888)
FR frohp5CTR	Frank Esportsavg 44.5¢	$2.7K	$3.06	$-2.7K	60% 1228-810 (2038)
latvian.demonCTR	Frank Esportsavg 56¢	$2.0K	$1.75	$-2.0K	4% 20-433 (453)
10 10scatCTR	Frank Esportsavg 21.3¢	$290.7	$0.68	-$290.01	4% 20-520 (540)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR	Frank Esportsavg 37.5¢	$479.99	$0.64	-$479.35	20% 104-404 (508)
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100	Frank Esportsavg 1¢	$0.79	$0.04	-$0.75	1% 1-153 (154)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$4,401.24

Value

$4.6K

PnL

+$165.11

Record

56%

3836-3008 (6844)

Malfunction-

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$2,395.9

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$89.18

Record

98%

121-2 (123)

319113331313111

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$1,334.61

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$831.88

Record

51%

61-59 (120)

brobrobrobrobro

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$1,437.69

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$161.9

Record

10%

3-28 (31)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$1,562.24

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$32.73

Record

65%

52-28 (80)

lryyy

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$984.02

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$715.22

Record

46%

231-275 (506)

skadiiCTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$2,190.34

Value

$1.1K

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

—

3-1 (4)

testBruno2

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$796.86

Value

$824.84

PnL

+$391.95

Record

37%

22-37 (59)

calculate10

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$836.03

Value

$344.94

PnL

+$266.83

Record

22%

26-92 (118)

alpheclabs2CTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$678.45

Value

$172.65

PnL

-$505.79

Record

46%

109-130 (239)

sentrio<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$69.49

Value

$80.13

PnL

+$10.64

Record

37%

339-567 (906)

norm1e69<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$42

Value

$49.98

PnL

+$7.98

Record

44%

1371-1730 (3101)

38791873984189<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$26.19

Value

$27.79

PnL

+$1.6

Record

48%

1286-1384 (2670)

ghorrock<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$14.95

Value

$22.18

PnL

+$7.23

Record

54%

553-471 (1024)

ameisgoat11<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5.15

PnL

+$0.2

Record

31%

278-610 (888)

frohp5CTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$2,721.82

Value

$3.06

PnL

$-2.7K

Record

60%

1228-810 (2038)

latvian.demonCTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$1,959.94

Value

$1.75

PnL

$-2.0K

Record

20-433 (453)

10scatCTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$290.7

Value

$0.68

PnL

-$290.01

Record

20-520 (540)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$479.99

Value

$0.64

PnL

-$479.35

Record

20%

104-404 (508)

SpringlyFawlCTR<$100

Frank Esports

Invested

$0.79

Value

$0.04

PnL

-$0.75

Record

1-153 (154)

Research grade

NeutralGround Zero Gaming at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Ground Zero Gaming

13 of 20 top traders (65%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

13 traders

Top 2 hold 47%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBroad

68% of non-arb traders are on Ground Zero Gaming. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 47% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpGround Zero Gaming 100% · 1

Aligned

sniperGround Zero Gaming 50% · 2

Aligned

ctrGround Zero Gaming 57% · 7

Aligned

Top 1000Ground Zero Gaming 68% · 19

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Ground Zero Gaming wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.