Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Ōita Trinita vs. Tochigi City FC: O/U 7.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Under 80%
1 arb excluded
$2.5K
$16.49
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Underavg 85.5¢ | $967.57 | $893.69 | -$73.88 | 53% 2055-1798 (3853) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 85.5¢ | $764.4 | $893.69 | +$129.29 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 10.2¢ | $203.17 | — | -$203.17 | |
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 88.3¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$35 | 49% 3769-3940 (7709) |
PE pelik | Underavg 99.9¢ | $450.09 | $450.54 | +$0.45 | 99% 1552-4 (1556) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 9.7¢ | $23.36 | — | -$23.36 | 37% 996-1673 (2669) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 88.5¢ | $17.72 | $20.02 | +$2.3 | 48% 2045-2201 (4246) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Underavg 88.5¢ | $16.12 | $18.22 | +$2.1 | 42% 979-1345 (2324) |
Invested
$967.57
Value
$893.69
PnL
-$73.88
Record
53%
2055-1798 (3853)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,039.19
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$35
Record
49%
3769-3940 (7709)
Invested
$450.09
Value
$450.54
PnL
+$0.45
Record
99%
1552-4 (1556)
Invested
$23.36
Value
—
PnL
-$23.36
Record
37%
996-1673 (2669)
Invested
$17.72
Value
$20.02
PnL
+$2.3
Record
48%
2045-2201 (4246)
Invested
$16.12
Value
$18.22
PnL
+$2.1
Record
42%
979-1345 (2324)