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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Ōita Trinita vs. Tochigi City FC: O/U 6.5

Resolved Over. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Under 67%

Total Value

$5.6K

Combined PnL

$-2.9K

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over5 traders
Total Value$5.6K
Total Shares5,566
Combined PnL+$3.3K
Under8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares7,310
Combined PnL$-6.2K
Over — 38%Under — 62%
GO
GoalLineGhost
Over

Invested

$1,751.2

Value

$4.8K

PnL

+$3.0K

Record

53%

2055-1798 (3853)

FL
FlaznorpCTR
Under

Invested

$2,538.34

Value

—

PnL

$-2.5K

Record

49%

3769-3940 (7709)

TO
topdogbigboi
Over

Invested

$302.95

Value

$391.23

PnL

+$88.29

Record

37%

996-1673 (2669)

CI
cigarettes
Over

Invested

$191.86

Value

$311.9

PnL

+$170.04

Record

53%

7022-6168 (13190)

0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100
Over

Invested

$81.3

Value

$90.43

PnL

+$9.13

Record

98%

442-7 (449)

DA
dashattackerCTR
Under

Invested

$1,991.45

Value

—

PnL

$-2.0K

Record

64%

297-169 (466)

2H
2HAECTR
Under

Invested

$1,499.48

Value

—

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

23%

29-97 (126)

SE
sentrioCTR
Under

Invested

$211.76

Value

—

PnL

-$211.76

Record

42%

979-1345 (2324)

dips.CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$1.14

Value

—

PnL

-$1.14

Record

47%

954-1080 (2034)

poshposhCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$0.53

Value

—

PnL

-$0.53

Record

48%

1079-1157 (2236)

SL
SlickRick123CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$0.18

Value

—

PnL

-$0.18

Record

34%

359-696 (1055)

FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$4.8

Value

—

PnL

-$4.8

Record

48%

2045-2201 (4246)

SU
suntori<$100
Over

Invested

$9.52

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$18.55

Record

46%

2530-3008 (5538)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x8aef68d6...3d1eaa
Slug
ja2-oit-tct-2026-11-14-total-6pt5

Traders in this Market

GO

GoalLineGhost

Over — $4.8K

+$3.0K
FL

Flaznorp

CTR

Under — $0

$-2.5K
TO

topdogbigboi

Over — $391.23

+$88.29
CI

cigarettes

Over — $311.9

+$170.04
0X

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Over — $90.43

+$9.13
DA

dashattacker

CTR

Under — $0

$-2.0K
2H

2HAE

CTR

Under — $0

$-1.5K
SE

sentrio

CTR

Under — $0

-$211.76

dips.

CTR

Under — $0

-$1.14

poshposh

CTR

Under — $0

-$0.53
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