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UnderOverUnderUnderOverOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Ōita Trinita vs. Tochigi City FC: O/U 5.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Under 57%
Total Value
$129.96
Combined PnL
-$632.09
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,503
Combined PnL-$656.09
Over4 traders
Total Value$129.96
Total Shares130
Combined PnL+$24
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 41.9¢ | $548.65 | — | -$548.65 | 49% 3769-3940 (7709) |
WA WagerWizard | Overavg 95¢ | $100.08 | $105.35 | +$5.27 | 38% 129-208 (337) |
MO mouzsynapseCTR<$100 | Underavg 42¢ | $72.32 | — | -$72.32 | 40% 114-172 (286) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 66.8¢ | $32.92 | — | -$32.92 | 53% 2055-1798 (3853) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 80¢ | $11.68 | $14.6 | +$2.92 | 37% 996-1673 (2669) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Overavg 98¢ | $9.8 | $10 | +$0.2 | 45% 644-802 (1446) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 44¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 48% 2045-2201 (4246) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 58¢ | $21.61 | $0.01 | +$15.61 | 46% 2530-3008 (5538) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$548.65
Value
—
PnL
-$548.65
Record
49%
3769-3940 (7709)
WA
WagerWizardInvested
$100.08
Value
$105.35
PnL
+$5.27
Record
38%
129-208 (337)
MO
mouzsynapseCTR<$100Invested
$72.32
Value
—
PnL
-$72.32
Record
40%
114-172 (286)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$32.92
Value
—
PnL
-$32.92
Record
53%
2055-1798 (3853)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$11.68
Value
$14.6
PnL
+$2.92
Record
37%
996-1673 (2669)
SM
smithagent<$100Invested
$9.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.2
Record
45%
644-802 (1446)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
48%
2045-2201 (4246)
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$21.61
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$15.61
Record
46%
2530-3008 (5538)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x48ce3aab...10771f
Slug
ja2-oit-tct-2026-11-14-total-5pt5