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No
paddaaNoNo
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 60%
Total Value
$4.9K
Combined PnL
$2.1K
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$4.9K
Total Shares4,907
Combined PnL+$2.2K
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares400
Combined PnL-$85.08
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DO DooBieZ | Noavg 98.5¢ | $1.8K | $3.0K | +$1.1K | 54% 2195-1841 (4036) |
paddaa | Noavg 76¢ | $485.48 | $1.3K | +$766.8 | 57% 866-665 (1531) |
88 881112 | Noavg 96.2¢ | $407.32 | $690.57 | +$283.25 | 36% 586-1039 (1625) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | $14.88 | — | -$14.88 | 20% 2788-10990 (13778) |
CO Contestable-ParfaitCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | $33 | — | -$70.2 | 47% 112-124 (236) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 31.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 35% 18887-34923 (53810) |
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 34¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 362-1675 (2037) |
DO
DooBieZInvested
$1,816.78
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
54%
2195-1841 (4036)
paddaaInvested
$485.48
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$766.8
Record
57%
866-665 (1531)
88
881112Invested
$407.32
Value
$690.57
PnL
+$283.25
Record
36%
586-1039 (1625)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$14.88
Value
—
PnL
-$14.88
Record
20%
2788-10990 (13778)
CO
Contestable-ParfaitCTR<$100Invested
$33
Value
—
PnL
-$70.2
Record
47%
112-124 (236)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
18887-34923 (53810)
SU
SulkingCryptoCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
362-1675 (2037)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xeed2e1fa...ea3448
Slug
iran-blockade-lifted-before-us-x-iran-ceasefire-ends