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UnderOverOver
VeryLucky888<$100OverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
NK Varaždin vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5
Resolved Over. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
Under 25%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
-$380.02
Smart Money Signal
Under
1 of 4 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$93.26
Total Shares93
Combined PnL+$23.98
Under1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares808
Combined PnL-$404
Over — 75%Under — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 41.8¢ | $4.3K | $1.1K | -$747.07 | 51% 47280-44570 (91850) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 41.8¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 50¢ | $574 | $1.1K | +$574 | |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Overavg 93¢ | $56 | $56 | +$3.92 | 71% 18412-7577 (25989) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Overavg 44.9¢ | $14.27 | $31.77 | +$17.5 | 50% 32573-32704 (65277) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Overavg 31¢ | $2.94 | $5.49 | +$2.56 | 59% 52401-37126 (89527) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 50¢ | $404 | — | -$404 | 47% 2177-2413 (4590) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$4,304.72
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$747.07
Record
51%
47280-44570 (91850)
Both legs:
Under$1,320.7741.8¢$-1.3K
Over$57450¢+$574
WA
WagerWizard<$100Invested
$56
Value
$56
PnL
+$3.92
Record
71%
18412-7577 (25989)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$14.27
Value
$31.77
PnL
+$17.5
Record
50%
32573-32704 (65277)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$2.94
Value
$5.49
PnL
+$2.56
Record
59%
52401-37126 (89527)
VE
VenusianCTRInvested
$404
Value
—
PnL
-$404
Record
47%
2177-2413 (4590)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x85e85e2b...30e927
Slug
hr1-var-din-2026-11-08-total-3pt5