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NoYesYesYesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on November 1?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$33.98
Combined PnL
-$20.32
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$33.98
Total Shares34
Combined PnL+$1.02
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares368
Combined PnL-$21.34
No — 33%Yes — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 95.9¢ | $32.95 | $33.98 | +$1.02 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.8¢ | $21.34 | — | -$21.34 | 59% 1921-1351 (3272) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6690-5888 (12578) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4495-9638 (14133) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 97.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 467-391 (858) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 16080-28084 (44164) |
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
$32.95
Value
$33.98
PnL
+$1.02
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$21.34
Value
—
PnL
-$21.34
Record
59%
1921-1351 (3272)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6690-5888 (12578)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4495-9638 (14133)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
467-391 (858)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
16080-28084 (44164)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf7447ec9...7879ce
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-november-1-2026-24c