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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 6?
Resolved Yes. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
No 82%
Total Value
$146.71
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
9 of 11 top traders (82%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1841c761...68fbf2
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-6-2026-16c