Back to Markets
Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 4?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
10
No 60%
Total Value
$136.04
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 10 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x732d5c99...d4941c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-4-2026-16c