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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 5?
Resolved Yes. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
No 70%
Total Value
$41.66
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 10 top traders (70%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0552c6f0...057ab6
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-5-2026-16c